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连续8周下跌,市值蒸发三分之一,比特币跌跌不休何时了? / U% F$ T- q% M) `/ t
周五,三大美股指创三周新高,10年期美债收益率逼近一个月低位,原油创两月新高,黄金连涨两周......在几乎所有的资产大涨之际,比特币却无动于衷,坚定不移地往下跌。 8 I6 Y8 K4 e: w$ v3 T( B. b
作为全球最大的加密货币,比特币已经连续8周下跌,为2011年8月以来的首次。在这段时间里,比特币已经蒸发了超过三分之一的市值。截至周五,比特币日内跌幅达2.13%,再度跌破29000美元/枚。 % j7 H3 ]$ J/ F5 z" U
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在近期的抛售浪潮中,比特币已从去年11月69000美元的历史高点下跌了近60%,近几周一直在28000-30000万美元之间徘徊。
. T; M* ?# V2 ]. T- |3 R" U( L随着全球第三大稳定币TerraUSD崩盘,比特币第一加密货币的地位得到巩固。根据CoinGecko的数据,比特币占加密货币市值的比例上升至44%,为去年10月以来的最高水平。
- E% d3 y" q& O+ Y& Z/ P% G& J! R但是,此时的加密货币市场已经不可同日而语,根据CoinMarketCap数据显示,全球加密货币市值约为1.2万亿美元,与去年11月超过2.9万亿美元的历史高位相比,已经蒸发58%。 # h) ~$ C- A3 o- d# r' Q8 y
除了比特币以外,DeFi(去中心化金融)项目中的热门代币周五也大幅下挫,第二大加密货币以太币以及与Avalanche跌超4%,Solana下跌5.7%。甚至在NFT(非同质化代币)市场中,大受欢迎的无聊猿和加密朋克也面临下跌压力。 " u! E) T% a" U% A2 t" D9 E
恐慌情绪是目前加密货币持续下挫的主要因素。随着投资者加大看跌押注,市场对美国首只比特币期货ETF的看空情绪接近该基金自2021年10月成立以来的最高水平。 & p2 F/ u8 j' w# ~; n6 O* G+ [" `
量化对冲基金Miller Tabak的首席市场策略师Matt Maley在接受媒体采访时表示,市场低迷“让投资者对加密货币大大丧失了信心”。“因此,随着投资者对整体市场变得更有信心,他们正在寻找其他可以在疲软时买入的资产。他们不想在加密货币中重蹈覆辙。”
$ i6 o$ K( ^& j5 p# @2 k! b3 V此外,随着美联储继续收紧政策,比特币可能还有下跌的空间。 + t3 J. _' _; }" M) F$ }
古根海姆首席投资官Scott Minerd本周一表示,预计比特币或将进一步下跌,8000美元或是最终的底部。也就是说,比特币将在当前28800美元的基础上,继续下挫超70%。 ' b0 L/ a2 J$ {' V/ V! E% l
来源:金色财经 |
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