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[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
" s9 c% H9 ~" p0 Q2 _2 m/ @7 y C% y0 l8 i
5. 废话的不对称原则
/ Z* D: A. [' o" m4 K4 ^) z6 [+ _反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
+ R/ }( C) e8 @$ K* s1 d) I
* @. T+ T" Z. V" r6 [' U5 ~9 a9 W$ v回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
6 f/ |0 W7 k4 j- \1 j0 s2 u% R" r3 V8 P7 z7 ~
写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
' n& i2 f/ a) B+ Y1 H( [* K6 x% k0 S" _0 N* J {& W
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
4 P# v( T1 A7 ]6 [' A- b( D5 i! S; @5 }
而对抗它们需要太多的精力。- K! D/ E2 O% c, _# Z
; g$ @( G7 U; A; L" T. e( @6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)5 Z4 [6 V: m0 j/ C9 q$ d, e
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。/ G$ D" h* s, y6 z+ d+ U
" A3 {% d2 i2 d7 l$ C7 K不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。8 z% \* M8 E* n6 i( g$ s6 S
( F- z' d! i) ?( h! c: f/ h X因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
5 E: Z: P9 l# B! q% P! I- v- J# D* Z$ v# ^3 R' L
想象一下罕见事件:
`: p y' u* ]8 E K4 B& M% x* x
• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
- g9 ?$ I0 A( {/ |
& W) w. l3 p: O* O• 核打击
6 z) x3 { ]. w; R+ J& [( _+ y' M! C8 W0 i5 ~: H' ^
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!/ J/ S* N$ ?6 E: W; k* |
' D2 D/ ?' d2 t* ?9 v, c7.二八定律( l/ p: n0 z' O
在币圈:1 } v2 }9 c$ W+ ^- i1 C& c
; |; S1 u* s N* ]8 q
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。
9 l& |, {" u: P f
- z" W$ Y" q- x! b! U, O2 O% E80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
- u6 p/ M7 C# Q, n2 }
. L! J* I6 g$ S8 X8 J. V' Y4 v- A我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
" ]) A: P y6 M3 m1 q
2 u3 Z1 A( f; t5 q8.网络效应
- }# \5 F% L5 L; w; j: B1 |3 K产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。
: r2 ?8 z. L; \. R( p! U- O; f2 N0 b9 t7 T/ g+ S1 V
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?
4 q# y* m3 C2 \) ^4 K; J! i6 v' P/ W" e
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
$ b) i: F9 v+ }* w( f6 ?4 M+ C- J! D
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。: `6 ?* Z% K4 B( ?4 V* K" @
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