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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，. A, z; j) i/ T5 a2 w& F
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比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
! i; H+ U* w0 Q2 f4 u E% D4 _我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
9 i, o8 J! P1 A+ Y. G& i0 S( C/ ]! I9 K$ ?, R
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在! ?! |7 D2 x8 D/ ?; M
5 Y4 t( n* K& S) ` k1 p
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过+ a4 o) r, H( I# u( K7 I" @! D
7 b2 ]& [0 D+ s- T: i! d: j& `# K中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
4 i+ i. B3 a- N- V; J$ [1 q7 J8 X( o+ x' H( T: G- z
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长% x8 x8 n9 C0 |' k/ B0 l0 e) N
" {( a9 Q/ T2 H5 P% R1 n6 b
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
4 s; b1 ~! |" ^( ?3 V1 c1 A. |! `2 H' i
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和0 S& w+ G; D5 S2 a8 t1 Y% r8 i& \
! I# K7 J; L, K5 G( METH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
5 u8 _1 _) F! j& d" d2 e' |' h- J( p) a- K& U& a3 g
美金）。
* A3 B+ u' a8 j2 g# z, s
# z, G8 s/ ]& y8 }/ E# o
( l: k% a) ~3 z8 J# S: s7 m1 ?2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
* g! \) L" n& k1 H4 ~- j3 p/ ^0 Y, c6 x# A2 W
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
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构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
4 V" w m+ k$ P- X
; W- C A6 A# a. P5 @5 B3 t3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户7 D3 V# C# m1 Z7 ?
5 x6 t* w, v+ k! s7 a# z+ s2 E尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
: M& e' N' T+ B8 Q- P8 O! x$ t7 \% }3 e' S
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL' y% B9 [; } P9 `$ @4 P8 f) S
6 L$ u; B# m1 S% j+ d" {7 f$ W
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如8 o) |$ Q$ d5 ^
# ^' n8 N1 q3 `. f9 P9 Y1 z
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
: w' k0 q8 O# }! G# q( ` H1 ]0 S, U u o+ g4 K3 U$ ^' T* _9 i/ b
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
+ ~/ g, m8 D3 E+ r9 Z8 g5 {" Z9 z
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