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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，" ~! P* k% r+ B G4 S) v
2 ] U6 `' \/ e& ]5 F8 z比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
! V7 g7 b" C; g4 s+ v( i% X. [我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
" l1 @+ E& j& B+ { e S4 \: w* V6 o: W6 Z- [
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在- f' Y# A8 [- g" |" w+ F: j
n$ G& d/ h" c
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过0 L( P& Z) B1 ?" H! O3 ~& x' g
- W8 y' h4 q T5 Z. Z中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
! s7 h( O y+ |/ p; |& W+ U) H! N# K$ y& ~. x- f7 Y' X
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
6 r* c! p& C l. Z/ g4 U3 q* d1 f" o) R# Z* S) w2 i% m; `) D
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH $ L4 @+ V8 J4 A) J p$ T# t9 d
! s& p4 E% x4 O0 G. h
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
6 j t, K+ o" u6 Y" k; C/ v" Y. F, K+ f( G; Q6 e
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
- X0 V5 E% A8 a9 V1 ?0 U) J' b" A. Z2 {1 \6 t/ T7 Z9 t$ B2 H
美金）。: Q( u/ N1 u# i# d3 J8 i
* s5 W! z0 W/ m K) `
; B6 A& s6 @1 O9 U2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态* P; o, X: m: ^8 j0 ?, e
* r) s; \5 d/ y! H
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去, c% ?: n$ p0 k# F6 S7 e# ]
: A' }; {- j+ u( @4 z5 ?3 {
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。" ?9 O3 ?4 k( c5 n3 @
( x* j ~7 b3 h2 U% F- Q9 T
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户% r7 K/ Q2 g, Y9 F/ J* v& t+ ^
/ L3 M q V6 @. z Z, K1 \尤其大资金的信任和青睐。8 H9 e# O- L2 F& d: L0 u$ F! M
; i0 [6 l( N# v- w2 t0 g1 X4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL6 `( _5 \/ P% a. Q
5 a! X+ E" Y, x1 n, F' y$ g约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
4 W+ Z1 I6 V0 C+ A3 \0 K
. o1 l8 L- [( N果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
7 p3 s0 @ E+ ~* L+ i) ?5 M1 ]9 f9 F: `
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。6 O& f3 x0 c0 I8 @: j: q/ j
; e, L# r2 u2 [2 D: |
3 h2 @8 E3 y9 h2 M' I( L4 ?$ j* [: @; u. O, x* p4 M
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