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[lastpost] => 2813482 马斯克家族代币MUSKIt能否复制狗狗币神话？《财富》深度预测6000倍增长空间（转） 1773153505 小钱儿
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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。
, O& k. P2 f+ }上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。 ?9 X5 ~7 ?% \/ n ?! D
& S* Y, R6 W: r! i$ r
比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者" Z% [, o. B N! D2 O) v5 B
a) ^' v% p2 w
; I& L5 }* U$ r% {在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。6 k' z6 ?( w) B6 r
, l4 {( B1 U/ ?. A在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，
( n. k7 j/ k' f( a7 u$ [/ ]
6 G' R# [. I0 w9 H+ H! F如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统& l6 V; Q6 H& P! D5 d
& O) g5 w0 X+ L3 p资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。- w. X* C0 S. p4 b4 Q3 j9 P3 r
+ ?8 E) W, x" Y) J6 _- [从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等1 S$ ~. t0 Y n2 H4 x, b
2 o t( F4 n% u* ~托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加* ]$ r8 C- C' b0 i4 V
& ^- E \1 o5 c4 J4 o, L& u
哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交
: N7 V F7 F0 g3 }1 f3 b: I1 X1 G7 _- s7 b
易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。; w! F8 p* h* a& v
% Q, Q; O! R3 L* ]& d5 [$ N& j9 r# Q天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币
# f8 e& J( |: Y9 ^3 X$ G$ K
4 \# W3 n: `8 ~. e% AETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围 W% r% ]$ y/ G# ^2 n. ~% ?& J
* L1 P x7 H4 i& v" t
绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构
' t- S$ U- b% m$ x8 W% I
_1 q# ^7 M- x0 [# }0 D所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。/ I) N9 }: \, H$ d
+ n/ h" X- D' o" b& [4 V' p
在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat & h" }0 u. a# S% A: Z3 R7 [
e# z1 c, X) xGlobal Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，. d* f2 ?2 m) h5 D5 B. d
9 r7 {. q2 Q! U9 c" Y8 i, s. W
比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元$ Q1 `" F4 e o: m) ^
# R( X1 Z" r/ Y1 [* d的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。, U! ^% v' M5 q6 e$ ?
! W9 \) m8 a( n3 K: A不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身) q. F( {( [. h5 z8 S) S) t: C
6 n* N; `- i7 J% }) W$ |
并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和
6 V+ N: T% L% W* ~9 Y( H n4 _$ K9 i2 x8 y2 v
科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。! _+ P3 x( V: k2 c
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