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[虚拟币交流]
贺锦丽与特朗普辩论未提及加密货币 辩论后贺锦丽Polymarket上的选举赔率上升（转）
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美国副总统贺锦丽在周二晚与前总统唐纳德·特朗普的辩论后，她在即将到来的美国总统选举中的胜算在Polymarket上飙升。 & t% i" |+ c) S" Q% { \- Q0 x
截至目前，贺锦丽和特朗普在Polymarket的8.6亿美元预测市场中已打成平手，两人各自持有49%的胜率概率。
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周二的辩论是贺锦丽和特朗普在11月选举前的首次也是可能是最后一次辩论，涉及了加沙战争和堕胎权等关键的国家问题。
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加密货币话题缺席辩论值得注意的是，尽管对加密货币潜在监管的关注日益增加，但这一话题并未出现在辩论中。 J2 {$ i" W8 V/ I. V7 |' ] R
尽管如此，Polymarket上的下注者还是给予了贺锦丽显著的优势，94%的人认为她赢得了辩论，尽管官方民调尚未公布。
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# X: Q4 t; ]/ i- f" t+ c3 `在辩论前的24小时内，贺锦丽在Polymarket上的胜率从46%上升至49%，而特朗普的胜率则从52%下降至49%。 # T; R6 u: d8 c1 i3 v$ t, e
特朗普一直公开支持加密货币行业，而贺锦丽虽然与该行业有过接触，但尚未对该问题采取明确立场。
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比特币的价格在辩论过程中出现了轻微波动。 . v+ b5 K( {3 [
在活动开始前的数小时内，比特币短暂升至58,000美元以上，但随着辩论的进行，价格回落至约56,700美元。
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目前，比特币已稳定在56,797美元。 ' ?# F: n# ]% n- }4 p3 K* z. m( k
加密市场做市商Keyrock的亚太区业务发展负责人贾斯汀·德·阿内坦（Justin d’Anethan）观察到，加密市场对辩论并没有做出显著反应。 & G& t& S- w' ~7 I9 K7 ~% x ?
他指出，比特币表现得像一个典型的风险资产，其走势与科技股和其他股票保持一致。 8 F1 V$ v( S& a- N8 T7 T0 ~
德·阿内坦补充说，比特币正在等待一个更为具体的催化因素，例如美联储政策的转变或重大的ZZ发展，来推动价格出现实质性变动。 # x! L0 f. S* ]) ` O
与此同时，特朗普和贺锦丽相关的PolitiFi代币在辩论期间出现了即时反应。
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根据CoinGecko的数据，市值为1380万美元的特朗普关联代币Super Trump (STRUMP)下跌了6.8%，而贺锦丽关联代币Kamala Horris (KAMA)下跌了5.7%。 ( ] E8 A* o( G5 ?0 ^) l4 [
MAGA（TRUMP）也略微下跌了0.2%。 |
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