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金色财经报道，渣打银行全球数字资产研究主管分析师Geoffrey Kendrick在近日的一份报告中表示，比特币已经连续五个周末下跌，, Z4 J% }: B8 }5 d- L' U
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但预计本周末这一趋势将发生转变。本周末的小幅上涨可能会在周一引发ETF资金流入，推动其价格重返100,000美元，然后涨至102,500美元。
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最近几个周末（纽约时间周五下午5点至周日同一时间）对比特币来说尤其艰难，负面新闻令其承压。一个关键事件是1月25日至26日周末* s+ x3 ~5 a& F
$ p7 h6 q) R) v+ J0 S V, r, X* @
的DeepSeek新闻，接下来的周末，即2月1日至2日，比特币受到加拿大和墨西哥关税新闻的打击。 * X4 H& r0 }* n* p( E; }
3 \3 f* F% J. l& B, C7 i$ F其指出：“这并不‘正常’，这个周末（2月15日至16日）“将有所不同”，因为利空事件已经发生，美国10年期国债收益率本周低于4.5%，这对比
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' t" q& i. [7 A- ^' g" R# s$ v特币等风险资产来说是一个积极信号。较低的收益率往往会缓解投机性投资的压力，从而更有可能出现反弹。
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前美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）主席ChrisGiancarlo表示：“比特币的设计就已经确定了它的稀缺性。你永远不能拥有超过一定数量的比特币。
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, \% m6 c* Q6 M* b1 [6 n# X2 H比特币正在快速升值。”
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3 P0 l7 i& E" C9 w据Coinglass数据，若比特币突破10万美元，主流CEX累计空单清算强度将达13.46亿。反之，若比特币跌破9.5万美元，主流CEX累计多单清算强度7 d3 s1 l, y6 h2 k- w9 |4 A/ L
* T! Q( [4 y" a" g将达14.24亿。BlockBeats注：清算图并不是展示精确的待清算的合约数目，或者精确的被清算的合约价值。 , S' v% ]3 ~+ t: e- O
# B+ u3 ]* h2 t/ `! ^清算图上的柱子展示的是其实是每个清算簇相对临近清算簇的重要性，即强度。因此，清算图展现的是标的价格达到某个位置会被影响到什么程度。/ f1 r* y) v* _$ q4 ^
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更高的清算柱表示价格到了之后将会因为流动性浪潮产生更加强烈的反应。
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将反弹的还是要在看到是在本周啊( \0 x# B, l/ a4 e1 |5 D& j
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