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[lastpost] => 2812426 XRP加密货币病毒式价格预测遭遇分析师质疑——三位数目标价引发担忧的原因如下（转） 1772923688 whywhy
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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊 ETF 流入资金达 18.5 亿美元——是比特币的 25 倍！（转）
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ETH ETF 的周净流入量是 BTC ETF 的 25 倍，推动 CME ETH 基差交易量接近 12%。现在能达到 4000 美元吗？& P O! @. e/ c0 I( g' }
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以太坊[ETH]已经翻转比特币[BTC]ETF 流入量。7 月 21 日至 25 日当周，ETH ETF 净流入 18.5 亿美元，约为 BTC ETF 净流入量 7200 万美元的 25 倍。
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0 [! H( m% n# u2 ^( ~目前，ETH ETF 组合持有的总资产超过 200 亿美元。其中一半是由贝莱德的ETHA 最近突破了 100 亿美元。
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5 Q2 }& w0 V8 x/ K对冲基金追逐ETH基差交易
8 _+ J) O+ p& }2 Y4 n9 P8 o+ _但 ETH ETF 的显著流动似乎主要是由寻求基础交易的对冲基金推动的。5 k) W" ?4 J4 i3 `5 @& v1 j* I: ^
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这是基金买入现货 ETH ETF 并在 CME（芝加哥商品交易所）期货上做空资产时出现的价差。) k0 H- S4 A* }9 I
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事实上，芝商所期货未平仓合约也强化了上述基础交易论点。Velodata显示，ETH 的兴趣激增至近 200 万个硬币，而 CME 期货上的 BTC 只有 15 万个。
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此外，ETH CME 年化基差本周从 8% 飙升至近 12%。8 i- G- u4 G( i' K! I
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同期，BTC 基差上涨了 9.4%，证实了过去一周 ETH ETF 资金流与 BTC 资金流的差异可能是由基差交易推动的。! N7 W6 R8 I. i d# a# b, v
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ETH/BTC 比率则表明情况并非如此
* ^7 T( f0 j7 q+ n' M4 h- X' b事实上，ETF 流量的巨大差异几乎没有影响 ETH/BTC 比率，该比率是衡量顶级加密资产之间资本轮换的指标。, u* |1 K; z, ? F
) e: h9 p+ n7 g( I; \与前一周 ETH/BTC 上涨 28%（这意味着资金从 BTC 转向 ETH）不同，该指标静音 本星期。
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难怪大多数山寨币的价格下降，因为 ETH/BTC 比率是山寨币市场领域的晴雨表之一。
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) |3 z& c% H' Q0 e* r a现货需求也受到追捧
1 E. r z; e) ?但现货 ETH 也存在真正的需求，尤其是来自财务公司领先预期的稳定币和代币化热潮。
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& j9 t o- f' f0 h+ e事实上，Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood著名的最近从验证者那里赎回 ETH 的热潮部分是受到 ETH 国库券需求的推动，因为 ETH 国库券的潜在回报为 2 倍。
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Coinbase 分析师也强调了类似的立场，额外," s2 v7 C* e2 b6 X7 j
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“我们认为，这（解除质押需求）描绘了市场为了应对收益机会的变化而重新分配资本的图景，而不是对 ETH 或生态系统失去信心。”8 k( `9 ~8 H/ V0 U
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这种转变是合理的。质押奖励仅为 3%，而基础交易的奖励高达 12%，几乎是 ETH 资金库潜在回报的 2 倍。) W3 O8 K/ t( k
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ETH 这波像换了马达，ETF 热钱狂涌、基差狂飙、CME爆仓量创新高，4000美金不是梦，关键就看现货跟不跟！
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