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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。4 T! r3 i; L u
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
4 w @8 {& c7 G! ~: b9 `& |. X尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。/ R9 q5 U* q1 A# S L. S
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市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
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随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。
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9 k7 i; `! h- w3 T) N牛un云蒙上阴影
" W; M# `* p' b2 n9 o) u最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。, k; c9 n. t0 A4 Y, H
2 E4 a+ [. |4 Q, }% ?* F; K
即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。3 d$ l, j# {- \; s# [- ^( G& E
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这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。
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# m8 D8 t" t9 [" x/ R5 d尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。' z* R8 ~0 A' |: ?8 p: Z
4 `- q p4 w4 b# e7 e( ~BTC背后的机构引擎
. ^/ H3 v9 {. l# b" D) ]6 E+ S% Y在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。
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- M4 f, Q' a2 B& j' A8 V这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。
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8 S% R7 v7 y* s/ e" k7 O" i. c与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。
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% M. T N# f/ D" M: A( A( ]机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。9 ?: _+ m; o, D: U3 T B3 A
& Q8 a7 j1 x8 b4 c; m% z# W怎么了？8 R' ?4 G( o( C
尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。. F7 S' g/ r2 v( a( E, {
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2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。) }( r( u' r" T# u
+ D# t% t l7 E, c
风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。- o6 f' d! D/ i1 e6 T- A; e
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尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
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