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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。8 G* c" Q# Q: _3 x# G. a
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。, y* c0 [: H3 {
尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
3 a$ E# ]3 M$ q; W) w. H' ]4 n0 [# p, I( ^, e
市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
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随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。- n% N9 M3 \2 w* j" N |9 a' E. Y
9 _! H) n+ ]2 q) b
牛un云蒙上阴影
& Y# T2 d' K/ Y- F. B' N/ S* I最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。
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# g+ z, [# L8 k; R4 F' t即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。
& p, a7 C4 a: `$ g# A! C4 Q% K2 x9 v' u* C1 u. q( ~
这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。& I/ B! W, m* q* j9 {8 m4 R; j. u
0 v& n, M- h' S: ]9 [ ]尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。6 ?& q; X3 M. ?# V0 i' W
; n: l% R3 }$ h$ v0 CBTC背后的机构引擎8 S% I9 w9 V9 l
在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。
( \, k% i* w/ }* E5 b7 ^. E7 m% P Z8 [9 h/ X3 m
这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。
# o( i6 k1 d; f J. m0 Q5 R6 Q( U
与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。; T! ^6 n9 p. Y; U8 |- k- {
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机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。, Z% @+ g& r/ U# B; `8 e
" J' |# Z8 L( h4 @3 G怎么了？: ~+ M# X+ t0 A0 a* r/ m# P
尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
- C1 T6 x' \" X8 k: V" T, Z* ]* i" s$ P3 l5 n2 d1 R
2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
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风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。! v5 e8 M! q3 z3 Z$ K Y
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尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。7 h: q! ^: s! v) [) `
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