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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。+ F' @6 d) b; }3 G% J
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。$ C# X, }8 H9 S1 f' \! h9 ?% N
尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
; ?7 u u! `3 p# A5 {- T# H! p- l7 w& \9 t$ K. @5 X" ~
市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
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3 }+ s% t' h3 ^4 p) u随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。
8 I3 _3 z- ^; z) k
1 Q% W/ A5 ~& ~& {牛un云蒙上阴影8 A# ?, W) q: r$ A+ K
最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。
" H( j, Q9 b0 K6 e' _6 y: s+ K# g" b* t7 }
即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。
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, q7 u$ K! O; W2 k' @. ]& Q这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。- g9 r7 I4 B+ V s4 |
6 o; E! C9 o C* } W5 J& }2 D尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。) p$ C8 Y9 Y1 c/ n# I, s% N8 E7 n
' g8 a- ~3 G! Z& G- nBTC背后的机构引擎' N9 F- x E! u' A0 m0 U7 I$ E* V0 S( ^
在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。5 e/ s2 m( R4 O N
D: ~2 w; z, h2 H这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。
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与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。
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s2 d7 D( P B' `* Y' g+ v8 _( @机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。* r5 ~. y; }3 W% Y6 l/ o% R
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怎么了？4 Z& B$ d) z; x! o2 y' R% [
尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
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2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。; J+ X0 }0 U6 U# v* r. _# u
0 N( u# F1 ?8 K8 F' }( v% \; u- L风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。: `% q4 [6 r. o- ?# F
- a) h, {$ E l$ \+ `& ?. ]尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。- H- D$ `+ m+ i( P2 X: E
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