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连锁因素、基本面因素和技术面因素的组合表明，以太多头将面临更多痛苦。 c. d1 z/ V; N2 S, Y7 ?2 G" ]1 R
以太坊的原生令牌Ether(埃塞俄比亚)的价值在2022年下跌了一半以上，同时对比特币(BTC)目前仍停留在2000美元以下出于几个原因.
) S( z- ^2 b9 j6 }4 }/ ?此外，由于另一系列因素，ETH price可能在6月份面临更大的损失，这些因素将在下面讨论。 , B9 z F1 Q* ]/ ^8 n. U
以太坊基金集体亏损 5 i+ t8 O' a3 @6 }
根据CoinShares的每周市场报告，投资者已在2022年从以太坊投资基金中撤出2.5亿美元出版5月31日。
! I( G7 {/ N$ w, T! R与其他硬币形成鲜明对比的是大量外流。例如，投资者在2022年向基于比特币的投资基金投入了3.69亿美元。
; U* ]6 v) e8 A* z3 }2 w- W与此同时，与以太坊竞争的区块链第一层协议Solana和Cardano分别吸引了1.04亿美元和900万美元。 ' ]4 P0 e: M. A g/ ]/ Z
& x; \' v0 ?7 p. S6 i! \9 y6 q编辑切换为居中 q5 R% x' l1 c$ n |
流入/流出加密资金(按资产)
* w6 Y7 d7 e. m3 s这从以太坊基金中提款是一个迹象，表明最近在特拉USD (UST)和特拉(月神)Terra内的令牌算法稳定币生态系统——降低了对整体分散金融(DeFi)部门的兴趣。 % n& o* n& a: C6 |
以太网的乐观前景仍然依赖于对DeFi市场繁荣的预期，因为以太坊的区块链托管了该领域的大部分金融应用。截至6月5日，基于以太坊的应用程序锁定的总价值(TVL)为6871万美元，几乎占TVL总DeFi的65%。
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& l S6 W$ g1 ~* d) B# d编辑切换为居中 9 r- u# [0 P! Q% {% M
6月5日的TVL以太坊
* c4 L0 q2 X% j) ?4 {+ i+ Z1 y但是，TVL仍然反映了以太坊DeFi池的大规模撤退，在5月9日Luna Classic和TerraUSD Classic倒闭之前，该池徘徊在1000亿美元左右。 2 g4 X2 P" ~/ K% _4 a. ^% `
宏观风险由美联储的鹰派政策根据Tagus Capital的合伙人Ilan Solot的说法，加上对DeFi行业的谨慎前景，乙醚似乎将在6月份继续下跌。
) |1 Z4 R+ c* S+ x. s+ D7 Q男性讲述金融时报:
: V$ E/ {; s. ^6 C“如果美联储收紧，世界陷入衰退，人们需要支付每加仑4.5美元的汽油，他们将没有多少钱投资DeFi或花在区块链奥运会上。”
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呆滞的技术面
3 J0 j; N6 ^1 z$ F6 p, X' N自5月以来的交易行为也描绘了以太坊的熊市前景。
, E7 u. W) e9 F+ N具体来说，乙醚一直在水平趋势线支撑和下降趋势线阻力所限定的范围内波动。该形态看起来或多或少像一个“下降三角形”，在下降趋势中形成的熊市延续形态。
& }/ N# \9 b9 B4 V根据技术分析的规则，下跌三角形在价格决定性地跌破其支撑趋势线后分解，然后下跌三角形的最大高度。如下图所示，乙醚有可能在6月份经历类似的下跌。 $ u/ ~2 K# K" H; \+ H1 t$ y
5 X; c9 C1 _" F: }
编辑切换为居中
# h& w5 @/ D4 U: i3 f0 tETH/USD每日价格图采用“下降三角形”设置
9 q& G0 @) J5 d) M如果ETH的价格跌破三角形的趋势线下限，它可能会在6月份跌至1，350美元，比今天的价格下跌约25%。
1 ]; @5 W7 r* g5 [交易所的ETH储备正在增加
6 |5 f# x& r/ U& HCryptoQuant的数据显示，自5月份以来，全球加密交易所的以太网余额总数增加了550，459以太网演出.
3 P; P. {: v8 j7 W# e) t/ I3 L自Terra崩溃开始以来，这相当于近9.5亿美元的资金流入了交易所的热门钱包。
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/ _$ B6 s* e/ ]$ p3 S编辑切换为居中 # r7 k$ ~& g% p+ l/ g- K
以太坊外汇储备
9 n( g) h6 U1 H2 o; M8 I# D4 i通常，当交易者想用代币交换其他资产时，他们会向交易所发送代币。因此，如果交易所的ETH储备下降趋势开始逆转，抛售压力可能会增加。 % c* w I6 n% x6 ?
来源：金色财经 |
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