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[lastpost] => 2768747 杜兰特：忘记比特币密码，十年价格从320涨至117000美元 1759116397 小作文
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。
+ X1 l/ I3 j- P$ m0 l1 W大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。$ w7 C! k2 Q- B4 K$ Y! f
尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。* r% @% v& j# _+ d" o) k
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市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
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9 T5 o. W6 F2 n5 {9 ^; X随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。
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牛un云蒙上阴影+ w8 n- \0 l( I
最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。
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; L# H$ s" z R. s( d即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。
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% T) m1 d( [7 V这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。4 w4 w9 J4 C4 U) @- c1 N
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尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。3 ^1 w' Y( Q P2 r+ k1 |" X
) l/ y5 R( H, V0 Y( t9 \BTC背后的机构引擎
$ h- i1 u; k e9 \! C% B在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。
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5 `5 E' J7 f) F& u, K这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。; }0 v" u# }7 x6 s0 q! w$ G
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与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。' P1 c5 c% v2 ]( b" j# i' `
4 J, ]8 m; p' A3 J机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。% Q- `- C; o4 J
' I1 V X* k! b9 _. k; Q怎么了？
9 V5 ?/ Q6 c7 L8 P! H9 Q1 I, l尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。- ~2 |: `+ c- s2 F: n) x" `
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2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
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, A! w- E& U9 m: e风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。; e" A- f5 F9 L$ X
+ M4 B+ _+ w0 M) h; G5 c0 i. W+ ^
尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
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