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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 ! e! O f( q- x8 Q8 T5 H7 t+ A
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其实原文标题不是这样的% M8 E# |8 D6 @/ b
3 K7 @* [9 {9 w0 n* W, Z这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!! }6 M. P9 X' @0 q6 j, Z
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...* W8 _3 b1 b. n+ N" A
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。% a. q ?6 q4 W. Q( X" M* N- \
5 ?. @; z. ?) D0 }& `4 W8 I
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。; {' e# q* M9 o* u
6 [1 E3 H$ o4 J j 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
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1 l& z2 ^6 |1 O6 w6 q3 [+ C/ o「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 9 P. v# d- y/ N4 {# d0 `" V
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」( ~; Y" a* g6 T- a2 F
_5 `1 R5 J6 l1 A1 m6 ^ 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。+ M x+ `+ j& u; S1 x% D
8 U! {8 f& x/ B$ X3 Y8 I s4 a% c
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，4 s; ]" o5 \( Z2 e7 |# g! i
因此铜板较容易出现正面。, k9 @9 u1 N9 S5 y
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
0 Q/ Y& [9 p* h! T7 t因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
* ?( Z5 u. x( a3 @! B5 B2 J0 o心想赢定了。1 j' ?1 H7 _1 p+ d' V8 O
& p: ^( m4 M B% k; ~3 i8 V没想到开始不到半刻钟，' U7 D( R2 k. Y; n$ k- R
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」, B# `( j, r3 G$ Q$ I1 T! g
6 a1 J- Y% z* |' w, l) B赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
p# M, B5 ^3 p$ i但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。6 m/ b2 I) k# ]0 d; C! A3 J: ^
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?3 z0 J% P8 F ~. e
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：! F( B4 ]9 c$ G* w% o! J
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」: B. q6 n# b' P1 d
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
6 r) N$ b0 X8 b P, O! |! t& S「而不是先发生在我身上。」. H! N3 B# f+ Y$ d
, l# a" w4 `: F0 ]+ o" @- O 赌徒恍然大悟，
, ~ F( t$ d, z原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，2 V* k! j; n% Z, l
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
) l; t. d6 Y- z2 y「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」% L% ^$ a8 K* [
上帝说完便不见踪影。 ! ~5 t4 e3 v3 `- H+ N
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
6 Z- D: r0 G/ B! o% t若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
3 z5 U0 t6 t% J% k# K# W' G% {1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，$ {2 g: t- P& R8 ~3 ~
对赌徒十分有利。; J5 U4 M( L: o1 w$ b3 @% q( h6 _
% r) x- z$ t& n: e9 B0 X但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
/ n: J j n: S! ]2 _9 @' ^7 R6 b在还没掷到1000次之前，8 {& n+ ~% U9 i$ h0 ?
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
! r4 S. Z9 e2 |( e" _% G: @$ r* @( S1 e* g
5 `( Y H! r) f1 H# j& |) U) q R 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。! Y6 P$ N8 m1 Q$ l1 s
# M/ g$ s5 \4 }1 ~$ J 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，6 j8 c! E& \8 [$ X
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ ' D' g' o- F7 ~2 j9 q. Q) c
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