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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 ' Z. ]9 o- W1 c. n. W5 B
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其实原文标题不是这样的3 S' S" U3 i! C. D4 |* i. O
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...: P# W* \9 Z, j
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
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* h8 F# d" W; m 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。8 D ~2 M: g( j8 Y- A4 e+ w
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
6 S, a6 |8 N# Z! v
2 F$ a+ O' k& o, e「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 ( O, B7 Q! D2 ]& W; J. [. H8 V
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」: T: a1 z2 Q" e4 s
; E/ F6 ^' Y2 ] l 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。) z1 w ]! k3 ]: t5 E7 P4 a
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
6 j- y/ F5 \3 _4 p5 O因此铜板较容易出现正面。3 H1 _: E4 n% q# w4 }
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
" V) ~$ }3 m. r因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
: y# [- ^* D S$ B* p I心想赢定了。1 O$ O. F: ]. m2 q6 j
; p- e, G2 W, N; _0 f: q没想到开始不到半刻钟，; Q# u0 B- [4 G; L) }% [0 l& m. b# o
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，) I5 r% v( P* \2 D) i' k# r
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?0 r% q$ b; }3 J) A$ h
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：) U9 R( W I" F6 a$ Y
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
. z: b" `+ D+ X' h! Z* {+ n「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」2 H' m" _: |8 W8 r, S. o
「而不是先发生在我身上。」4 g; R1 S2 h% E ^, ?
+ y! k# `4 X2 S; n6 D5 q 赌徒恍然大悟，
; U; e" i( `7 s8 x; e4 j' _ }原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，* h5 l6 p* C$ i& i# W- g! A
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！& d3 _% U3 ^. G( z4 s1 d7 L4 m
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」' S" L1 ?. c8 c+ N: X9 d
上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
% ^& G+ v- c; |2 o( I6 L: M若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，# X: m) b% @% D u$ A: W1 [
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
0 p; F) D- H3 d对赌徒十分有利。
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) Y8 v- z! A% M9 @' y& r }; E, d1 Y但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
' b! [5 k; A$ g# v5 j J在还没掷到1000次之前，# Q% W+ H9 M) t" `2 H" g8 F. `2 J
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。+ `& \, ^0 h% Z
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。: x- ~2 O2 |. t& T0 x
' W# z# F& L3 p* d5 a, \ 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。" ?/ p% X N. x* M( j5 ?+ ~* ^* {
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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M+ |) _9 R# F* X 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ . L( L& L6 k0 k$ H' y
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