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[lastpost] => 2751015 才刚欢呼完比特币冲上天，下一秒又说它要掉下来！信清崎？信分析师？还是信自己？ 1753546944 天策-瑶娥
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连锁因素、基本面因素和技术面因素的组合表明，以太多头将面临更多痛苦。
0 a3 o+ C5 R9 @7 n以太坊的原生令牌Ether(埃塞俄比亚)的价值在2022年下跌了一半以上，同时对比特币(BTC)目前仍停留在2000美元以下出于几个原因. ! E1 P+ V( }. B) F% k- @0 h
此外，由于另一系列因素，ETH price可能在6月份面临更大的损失，这些因素将在下面讨论。 1 B5 ^3 x+ u9 O) x! F& l8 A# {
以太坊基金集体亏损 {; n3 [6 r {% @+ ~
根据CoinShares的每周市场报告，投资者已在2022年从以太坊投资基金中撤出2.5亿美元出版5月31日。
7 {; v2 U+ X% }! z4 o7 T P与其他硬币形成鲜明对比的是大量外流。例如，投资者在2022年向基于比特币的投资基金投入了3.69亿美元。
$ I L* e+ P8 B! S. W% x5 A: O与此同时，与以太坊竞争的区块链第一层协议Solana和Cardano分别吸引了1.04亿美元和900万美元。
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编辑切换为居中 , @, G. ]0 D3 c/ y! r, V
流入/流出加密资金(按资产) 3 s9 y; c' q3 M" j/ e
这从以太坊基金中提款是一个迹象，表明最近在特拉USD (UST)和特拉(月神)Terra内的令牌算法稳定币生态系统——降低了对整体分散金融(DeFi)部门的兴趣。
* Y% M, p' m8 ^, S- X l以太网的乐观前景仍然依赖于对DeFi市场繁荣的预期，因为以太坊的区块链托管了该领域的大部分金融应用。截至6月5日，基于以太坊的应用程序锁定的总价值(TVL)为6871万美元，几乎占TVL总DeFi的65%。
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V* Y3 `% }8 f i编辑切换为居中
( L( w) R/ V/ t! e$ q4 A+ \) F6月5日的TVL以太坊
" G, k& c, i" d) C! Q9 s% d但是，TVL仍然反映了以太坊DeFi池的大规模撤退，在5月9日Luna Classic和TerraUSD Classic倒闭之前，该池徘徊在1000亿美元左右。 + |9 n) z U& G' ?0 U
宏观风险由美联储的鹰派政策根据Tagus Capital的合伙人Ilan Solot的说法，加上对DeFi行业的谨慎前景，乙醚似乎将在6月份继续下跌。
q) r; d2 z s5 ?% U男性讲述金融时报: ! J: {" d/ x: l* T1 x
“如果美联储收紧，世界陷入衰退，人们需要支付每加仑4.5美元的汽油，他们将没有多少钱投资DeFi或花在区块链奥运会上。”
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呆滞的技术面
" X3 ~/ |2 U+ `( O自5月以来的交易行为也描绘了以太坊的熊市前景。
% j1 G0 w; X% w& B# o& q! H具体来说，乙醚一直在水平趋势线支撑和下降趋势线阻力所限定的范围内波动。该形态看起来或多或少像一个“下降三角形”，在下降趋势中形成的熊市延续形态。
j0 h% q6 R m根据技术分析的规则，下跌三角形在价格决定性地跌破其支撑趋势线后分解，然后下跌三角形的最大高度。如下图所示，乙醚有可能在6月份经历类似的下跌。 : W. ^' q6 R5 X
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编辑切换为居中
6 g* _2 [: X; n! S6 p+ N2 kETH/USD每日价格图采用“下降三角形”设置
! p& `+ ~/ e) r9 L+ g# m如果ETH的价格跌破三角形的趋势线下限，它可能会在6月份跌至1，350美元，比今天的价格下跌约25%。
* p' G" N" m/ S- M交易所的ETH储备正在增加 $ E/ [- \( ?5 I2 r8 `' e) f
CryptoQuant的数据显示，自5月份以来，全球加密交易所的以太网余额总数增加了550，459以太网演出.
, X: ~: \- r) G2 A3 }& `自Terra崩溃开始以来，这相当于近9.5亿美元的资金流入了交易所的热门钱包。 , B5 r7 B$ V8 K( |" U- d
( s5 k: x! G" l% ?$ I9 b0 \编辑切换为居中
% D, Z/ f9 q: G2 i! W( N3 b( y. w以太坊外汇储备 ! E \2 k" x; Q! u$ J' r4 Y
通常，当交易者想用代币交换其他资产时，他们会向交易所发送代币。因此，如果交易所的ETH储备下降趋势开始逆转，抛售压力可能会增加。 ) z- X5 W" j) x& t$ M
来源：金色财经 |
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