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[lastpost] => 2795205 Visa 加密负责人:2026 Crypto 与 AI 的八大演进方向(转) 1767800591 我也来辣
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势/ l- k& B; [# m+ A E9 \3 Z9 R
- J7 J/ O( b! q, F7 n; w3 q过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。
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PPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
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CPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。
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2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期* _# p: U6 H" j4 R- i8 L8 N
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当前持仓成本:
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机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;. ]% w: n+ z& A2 A, g' W
" I) l! C p( y微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;
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ETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
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- [" j# k* |6 w4 \8 E* c$ x比特币价值回归:2 i0 a1 j/ T ~9 a: u
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市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
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! o7 v5 |" T$ n. S随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。
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加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。
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3. 市场热点与反弹情况( [" P% Z1 ~9 F* _$ n
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ETH:/ F% C/ L; w* j
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虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。
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: Q3 N4 |# |; R机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。$ @6 z/ v; B7 K; @0 a' B/ e g- z
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尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。
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如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。- s, v# X$ r8 T* t
% i5 v% x( J/ {3 W8 O0 x4 lSOL与XRP:
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SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。
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& R# x4 L( n2 [/ k# VXRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。
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1 p& v: f% v; Q/ ^2 C2 I1 ^其他热点项目:# p7 v+ ] k3 J1 V: K: f
X8 S: \. l8 F. v$ U0 Y8 N9 A涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。: {! }7 @& L! m
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山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。* F u( [) w4 u
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4. AI赛道与新兴项目
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AI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。1 r- g. r4 I8 r% F' g K+ {% Q
' V8 e2 ~2 o4 A+ n4 q. X蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。
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; }% c) s% ~5 |/ N新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。 f, N. x$ B9 B% j% }
" B: {# j9 H; w4 L/ e4 o" N" ]市场展望0 |& T3 _( N3 ^, y8 t
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随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。7 l: o. m1 m T: c$ Y9 b( Y
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当前离线
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