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[lastpost] => 2746912 比特币财务公司存在泡沫(转) 1753705768 爱美的女人
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势5 S7 c9 ` {# t K/ f
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过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。
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+ _* B$ x" |, z# j- JPPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。" n( e$ `: C9 o& ?
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CPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。
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1 z# D' `" \. r2 y: L0 ~2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期
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当前持仓成本:9 q% Q3 A) ]; {
7 r3 q3 ^9 H, y- A! M; m1 V6 W机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;$ C: d3 D0 [% c% D" F9 h; C0 k5 E
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微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;/ f) h7 Z' h$ F; Z6 v& n1 n
0 E8 f, q2 n8 jETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。6 G; h& \7 o h
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比特币价值回归:
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市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
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随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。
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7 Y" f7 E, b! w! ?加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。
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3. 市场热点与反弹情况
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7 @, S3 p# Z/ l7 ]虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。
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$ U3 {. c# U9 Y. k* {! U机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。
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/ s0 G* W. }6 {- P4 c尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。+ c5 q0 x3 |5 q! ] M0 t
5 F3 T2 \6 N' ~! o' ]3 b# m8 v如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。
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SOL与XRP:" I2 X9 a* w' U% H3 j; z
) k" E- e9 G8 v3 O8 S) T- TSOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。
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XRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。
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- D' k4 h) c7 D其他热点项目:
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涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
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山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。( h! d, ?$ z; p' m' h
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4. AI赛道与新兴项目
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5 Y! f8 b3 X; Q& v8 U3 m1 ?8 |AI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。8 J* L5 p% O$ x9 H/ `0 ^8 |
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蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。
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新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。: G" z4 R |6 E6 `
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市场展望; y& ]6 h; v+ {; }
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随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。$ t* o+ H( \1 a2 E) r
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当前离线
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当前离线
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