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[lastpost] => 2753866 香港稳定币今日开闸，业内人士：5年左右将逐渐取代SWIFT(转） 1754155428 小夏Sherry
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[虚拟币交流]
Bitwise高管：人们正低估比特币 BTC将大幅上涨(转）
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据两位 Bitwise 高管称，在特朗普ZF威胁要改革全球贸易，而经济指标表明各国央行可能向市场注入现金之际，比特币是一个“世代机遇”。
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Bitwise Asset Management 的阿尔法策略主管 Jeff Park 在 2 月 16 日的 X 帖子中表示：“世界确实处于最大混乱的边缘。”
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: Q7 s; U$ g+ V" K9 `5 UPark 指出，2 月 12 日众议院共和党预算计划将债务上限提高 4 万亿美元，旨在增加ZF支出，同时还有去全球化趋势加剧，尤其是唐纳德·特朗普
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' }7 A3 a& j# U1 h! O! O7 z最近升级的互惠关税威胁。
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" K) e, P8 w6 ] e3 S+ x5 ?Park 还指出，市场将出现他所谓的“最大延迟”，指出“黄金跑赢大盘的尾部风险”，共和党高达 4.5 万亿美元的“史无前例的减税”，以及他认为即将实施& G$ I+ r3 b- v% N7 S: z
3 f( J2 R' V! U4 ~7 I! w的收益率曲线控制 (YCC)——央行将长期利率作为刺激借贷和投资的目标。
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美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔对今年进一步降息的可能性泼了冷水——2 月 11 日，他告诉参议院银行委员会，美国经济“保持强劲”，美国“不需要急于调整”利率。 ]# ]0 }& t3 Z: n; r& K) P
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Bitwise 首席执行官 Hunter Horsley 在 2 月 16 日的 X 帖子中写道：“人们严重低估了比特币今年进入主流的巨大飞跃。从未如此乐观。”9 X- D" N' Y7 t/ t1 d6 i1 t/ c1 g$ X
2 B* Y0 D: z) R3 d4 j4 S“BTC IV 百分位数是全年最低的，你看不到这一代机会，所以我们不一样了，”Park 补充道，他指的是比特币的隐含波动率百分位数——过去一年中波动率/ i, ?" i0 U# t2 j# K- D% a
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低于当前水平的天数百分比。0 ^. Y7 K+ m0 P- [2 Z4 W7 L6 l
9 D ^8 T7 t0 U( l根据 Deribit 的数据，比特币的波动率指数目前为 50.90，低于年度高点 71.28，IV 百分位数为 12.3。( u1 V$ D# S9 G$ D" v T
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据 CoinGecko 数据，比特币在过去 24 小时内下跌超过 1.5%，交易价格略高于 96,000 美元。0 ~6 S" z& n5 r/ I& V& {9 U6 s: v
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今年到目前为止，比特币的交易价格在 90,000 美元至 100,000 美元之间，但在上个月末特朗普就职典礼期间达到 108,786 美元的峰值。
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追踪加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数的市场情绪在 2 月 17 日为 51 分（总分为 100 分），表明市场处于“中性”状态。市场情绪较上周的“恐惧”水平有所改善，但低于* `/ ^7 P# J4 Q& r) s
; ]! v5 J0 U, g+ X上个月更为积极的市场情绪水平。
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