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[lastpost] => 2746899 如果比特币达到 100 万美元且 XRP 保持其市场份额，XRP 的价格如下（转） 1751721500 小钱儿
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) Y: p2 Z0 T- p+ Y' Q 美国贸易政策的突变正在使金融市场发生调整，这将对经济产生短期的负面影响，然而，过去一周的市场条件不太可能) R- \$ ?0 H8 ~: [0 N/ }8 t2 O! T
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成为未来四年的常态。特朗普ZF正在实施一系列政策措施，这些政策将对 GDP 增长、通货膨胀和贸易赤字产生不同的影响。3 t! h$ D# X% @$ a: R& ^- Y/ {0 G- u
, {& V; ^" {: V例如，虽然关税可能会减少经济增长并提高通货膨胀（即造成滞涨），某些类型的放松管制可能会提高增长并降低通货膨胀; l6 ]- Y+ T' T
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（即减少滞涨），最终的结果将取决于白宫在这些领域内实施政策议程的程度。( L4 ^$ N) K! `! O" d6 Y: `
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尽管前景存在不确定性，最好的猜测是，美国ZF的政策将在未来 1 至 3 年内导致美元持续疲软和总体高于目标的通胀。) a6 k& ]7 h9 M
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关税本身可能会减缓增长，但这种影响可能会部分被减税、放松管制和美元贬值所抵消。如果白宫还积极推行其他促进增长的9 p4 G4 \& { `* m6 |
5 j- O- B6 ~; h0 o政策，尽管最初受到关税的冲击，GDP 增长仍可能保持相对良好。无论实际增长是否强劲，历史表明，一段时期内持续的通胀% L5 K$ r5 g" y; u
' B" ?3 z- w2 ~1 e3 [" \! O压力对比特币和黄金等稀缺大宗商品来说可能是有利的。 q @* q( h2 M9 |# ?
0 S2 W4 |4 e; J9 X( f( [) b 此外，就像 20 世纪 70 年代的黄金一样，比特币如今拥有迅速改善的市场结构 — — 这得到了美国ZF政策变化的支持。
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今年以来，白宫实施了一系列广泛的政策变化，这些变化应该会支持对数字资产行业的投资，包括撤销一系列诉讼，确保资产% W6 O( a! c2 [" F% E: y
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对传统商业银行的适用性，以及允许受监管的机构（如托管人）提供加密货币服务。这反过来又引发了一波并购活动和其他战
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略投资。新关税对比特币等数字资产估值是一个短期的不利因素，但特朗普ZF的加密货币特定政策一直支持该行业。综合来. x$ i( v5 G5 a5 d7 C+ H7 {
' e7 ~) Q" R# I: ~看，宏观经济对稀缺大宗商品资产的需求上升和投资者经营环境的改善，可能是未来几年比特币广泛采用的有力组合。( R* V$ j! s! o" k" W+ B9 P
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