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[lastpost] => 2746909 比特币 (BTC) 牛市来临之前，值得投资的 9 种最佳加密货币（转） 1751721964 小钱儿
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。9 _% B1 g) h. K9 i: _+ ]3 G
5 @; I2 Z& g- G2 _$ {! O/ g 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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6 `+ {5 s l) S. c+ u5 W: H Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。5 j) l0 U4 N4 F
# Z9 a4 d4 | G k* P& ^4 A 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。! M! t$ L( w1 b1 k% e
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。$ }/ q9 ?! A- G% |
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' \( U. g, w% e' E2 i% P" D 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。. C' K* j Z& O. L
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“从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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7 q$ _) ~# i" a' {0 N框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”
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' h+ Z% O/ Y* H* x# x; d# H7 O/ w 知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。- U- |" A% \! z, r
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“$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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* o4 n' J `4 D& f( z: _积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”
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早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。
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L* A$ b S" B. V 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。
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比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势* p" d. H( v: H. k0 h. y
: `2 }( B% A9 H5 Q, F1 \: P, @ 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。8 X5 X8 N* b0 d, K7 u @
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监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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, s; v( {0 j! [4 `. r市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”# b( c6 S E. s& P
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