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[lastpost] => 2751500 以太币爆涨散户止盈 退出质押提领时间需9.5天-转 1753787626 韩少
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连锁因素、基本面因素和技术面因素的组合表明，以太多头将面临更多痛苦。 7 G0 M; p3 A& n" q/ O. D+ D# q
以太坊的原生令牌Ether(埃塞俄比亚)的价值在2022年下跌了一半以上，同时对比特币(BTC)目前仍停留在2000美元以下出于几个原因. ; N$ K8 f9 [/ c6 L- v6 [2 Z c
此外，由于另一系列因素，ETH price可能在6月份面临更大的损失，这些因素将在下面讨论。
- u$ C$ v! C" n) E. U3 R0 }以太坊基金集体亏损
+ H8 j+ Y1 c6 J! L6 @9 e5 W4 F根据CoinShares的每周市场报告，投资者已在2022年从以太坊投资基金中撤出2.5亿美元出版5月31日。
; u8 S$ ^( d3 c. L$ t# l2 H与其他硬币形成鲜明对比的是大量外流。例如，投资者在2022年向基于比特币的投资基金投入了3.69亿美元。
* `2 L0 A4 X9 x6 p S; L与此同时，与以太坊竞争的区块链第一层协议Solana和Cardano分别吸引了1.04亿美元和900万美元。
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编辑切换为居中
4 H) t+ Y" g5 `流入/流出加密资金(按资产)
, n; |8 ~& J: n; e这从以太坊基金中提款是一个迹象，表明最近在特拉USD (UST)和特拉(月神)Terra内的令牌算法稳定币生态系统——降低了对整体分散金融(DeFi)部门的兴趣。 # N& x( H8 G+ w" A0 G
以太网的乐观前景仍然依赖于对DeFi市场繁荣的预期，因为以太坊的区块链托管了该领域的大部分金融应用。截至6月5日，基于以太坊的应用程序锁定的总价值(TVL)为6871万美元，几乎占TVL总DeFi的65%。 X: j4 z/ w5 G! k
# l$ H. s* ?; L( |/ Y6 E编辑切换为居中 " I6 f% G% W. t( a7 A
6月5日的TVL以太坊 * G9 \, z: o1 Y; Z; D0 q) v
但是，TVL仍然反映了以太坊DeFi池的大规模撤退，在5月9日Luna Classic和TerraUSD Classic倒闭之前，该池徘徊在1000亿美元左右。 ( l& ~% s1 g! y( ?
宏观风险由美联储的鹰派政策根据Tagus Capital的合伙人Ilan Solot的说法，加上对DeFi行业的谨慎前景，乙醚似乎将在6月份继续下跌。 ; u+ ?+ g' o. Z( Z3 f8 |
男性讲述金融时报:
8 q; [$ O* e# {$ T# F6 r- @: y“如果美联储收紧，世界陷入衰退，人们需要支付每加仑4.5美元的汽油，他们将没有多少钱投资DeFi或花在区块链奥运会上。”
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呆滞的技术面 " T# G- q5 i9 d$ K3 Z/ d% Z7 |1 ]
自5月以来的交易行为也描绘了以太坊的熊市前景。 1 O+ k, q3 B% j- h
具体来说，乙醚一直在水平趋势线支撑和下降趋势线阻力所限定的范围内波动。该形态看起来或多或少像一个“下降三角形”，在下降趋势中形成的熊市延续形态。 " {0 x# M3 h! a3 q1 G
根据技术分析的规则，下跌三角形在价格决定性地跌破其支撑趋势线后分解，然后下跌三角形的最大高度。如下图所示，乙醚有可能在6月份经历类似的下跌。
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编辑切换为居中
1 L) B0 Q2 e8 H2 ]ETH/USD每日价格图采用“下降三角形”设置
9 _4 b- J; U/ p5 h0 Q$ Z V如果ETH的价格跌破三角形的趋势线下限，它可能会在6月份跌至1，350美元，比今天的价格下跌约25%。
$ K1 K* k6 L8 f& j$ x) K" _7 {6 B交易所的ETH储备正在增加
* X2 g$ L& c1 \! ]0 B% TCryptoQuant的数据显示，自5月份以来，全球加密交易所的以太网余额总数增加了550，459以太网演出.
4 W2 v/ F' p% i0 g: f3 P9 @8 U5 r自Terra崩溃开始以来，这相当于近9.5亿美元的资金流入了交易所的热门钱包。 5 U" h5 I; G( ?- q! v
3 H1 w) t9 `6 g2 A$ U+ i9 a编辑切换为居中 ! W) w" L$ @. |; [0 v* Z L/ }
以太坊外汇储备 7 k0 P5 Z0 Y% ?# X* T1 h) y5 _ Y
通常，当交易者想用代币交换其他资产时，他们会向交易所发送代币。因此，如果交易所的ETH储备下降趋势开始逆转，抛售压力可能会增加。
B1 \ F3 E4 K0 t来源：金色财经 |
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