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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。
" L$ I; s) V: v, v& F( _, N大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。" l, @# M6 ?, b# w$ Y1 X* W$ N" M& `
尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。0 c0 [ a5 [. @" g
8 b& U9 M0 ]4 ]# X* X市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
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随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。- `; P; P7 q- h) {
7 y6 k+ Y2 L9 R/ k* X牛un云蒙上阴影
. J2 V( u9 t/ @3 s% h4 [最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。
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+ z) `/ F/ a1 `: K X! J即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。3 w0 u) S3 D- @. A7 R5 A/ l
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这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。
& {( P" E- x& N5 ?$ H0 ~' {' ?
; A+ R" Z" x$ \* o7 m7 M尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。
' W3 d2 Q1 u( w x8 r" k! h J9 z& ]: M/ X
BTC背后的机构引擎( i+ K' G% `( Y# ?" {7 ?1 Q( y
在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。
6 K# y2 W9 _. Z; p5 Y: K
, [/ R6 x. u1 u6 Z" E N$ a, P/ Q这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。: Y: ^% x9 T- U* X
3 J* k. } @4 a* x' `
与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。
/ v. o. C' b2 x. @4 } v8 {
v* t6 H' F/ T4 d机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。
$ j0 W6 h0 L2 ]2 R* z5 r* m
* {: H. N: l# @$ j# T, V怎么了？
1 [& W% P% a9 Z2 d( c# w' M# F尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。; x7 N$ l, I( }5 z8 p
" k& ]' Q4 J4 d
2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
9 D- ]5 [1 Y( B! y3 A' D
, X. K, G$ c: i. n2 K风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。
* I( ~+ y8 k5 G8 Y0 j! m4 m- ?& _% P' G! _. r4 {' X' h5 w2 C
尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
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