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[lastpost] => 2756447 美国7月CPI引爆市场 以太坊再度拉升逼近4,400美元-转 1755617988 爬格子的瘦书生
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连锁因素、基本面因素和技术面因素的组合表明，以太多头将面临更多痛苦。 5 J) T3 k/ M; t- e5 [2 X
以太坊的原生令牌Ether(埃塞俄比亚)的价值在2022年下跌了一半以上，同时对比特币(BTC)目前仍停留在2000美元以下出于几个原因. 7 J6 _; }$ y, ?! e" e. V# ^
此外，由于另一系列因素，ETH price可能在6月份面临更大的损失，这些因素将在下面讨论。
: w9 I+ \% h6 z3 X( J W9 {以太坊基金集体亏损
% q+ n) D# Y8 V% B* M根据CoinShares的每周市场报告，投资者已在2022年从以太坊投资基金中撤出2.5亿美元出版5月31日。 : ?; x) w* F: e) h! l
与其他硬币形成鲜明对比的是大量外流。例如，投资者在2022年向基于比特币的投资基金投入了3.69亿美元。
+ @: C4 F+ X; m8 c7 F9 o与此同时，与以太坊竞争的区块链第一层协议Solana和Cardano分别吸引了1.04亿美元和900万美元。
! z s$ N0 }: n! i& b
& r4 C G$ ~0 f+ ]! N# ~% q% U/ R编辑切换为居中
# K9 [' ^& W3 t流入/流出加密资金(按资产) + q7 p0 l# h3 ]
这从以太坊基金中提款是一个迹象，表明最近在特拉USD (UST)和特拉(月神)Terra内的令牌算法稳定币生态系统——降低了对整体分散金融(DeFi)部门的兴趣。 5 _) ?( h. w8 }: W6 E2 d6 L) J, y+ `" J
以太网的乐观前景仍然依赖于对DeFi市场繁荣的预期，因为以太坊的区块链托管了该领域的大部分金融应用。截至6月5日，基于以太坊的应用程序锁定的总价值(TVL)为6871万美元，几乎占TVL总DeFi的65%。 0 y- \- E$ P2 C) n- h
9 F" K) v8 j# x: r! r, g- Q编辑切换为居中 * D7 v6 @% f$ | F1 m
6月5日的TVL以太坊
; R& V, v& Z/ ]: n; d* p但是，TVL仍然反映了以太坊DeFi池的大规模撤退，在5月9日Luna Classic和TerraUSD Classic倒闭之前，该池徘徊在1000亿美元左右。
. Q$ _3 Z, t$ g宏观风险由美联储的鹰派政策根据Tagus Capital的合伙人Ilan Solot的说法，加上对DeFi行业的谨慎前景，乙醚似乎将在6月份继续下跌。
. p+ y; U5 Q/ `8 _2 G. U男性讲述金融时报:
# b' v, o4 C; Z“如果美联储收紧，世界陷入衰退，人们需要支付每加仑4.5美元的汽油，他们将没有多少钱投资DeFi或花在区块链奥运会上。”
% Z! C4 T" M. q) }* h
呆滞的技术面 5 c% ?: }) W, j5 \* r
自5月以来的交易行为也描绘了以太坊的熊市前景。
5 i: {: V, L5 C' E2 |* [具体来说，乙醚一直在水平趋势线支撑和下降趋势线阻力所限定的范围内波动。该形态看起来或多或少像一个“下降三角形”，在下降趋势中形成的熊市延续形态。
N: i9 m! A5 V {2 @# t }6 n根据技术分析的规则，下跌三角形在价格决定性地跌破其支撑趋势线后分解，然后下跌三角形的最大高度。如下图所示，乙醚有可能在6月份经历类似的下跌。
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: b0 g$ w0 }2 r: B1 Z编辑切换为居中 " T) I4 V8 j" f) ]& y, P0 I
ETH/USD每日价格图采用“下降三角形”设置 5 [: h7 N& @ v0 y0 r- s. p( }9 G
如果ETH的价格跌破三角形的趋势线下限，它可能会在6月份跌至1，350美元，比今天的价格下跌约25%。
$ ~9 B) W' Q: F& J+ c) _) V交易所的ETH储备正在增加 9 C5 H& r7 W% y
CryptoQuant的数据显示，自5月份以来，全球加密交易所的以太网余额总数增加了550，459以太网演出.
$ ]* [# A+ ]- S' N自Terra崩溃开始以来，这相当于近9.5亿美元的资金流入了交易所的热门钱包。
5 u- Q8 L0 e2 R* u- E9 z$ [
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编辑切换为居中
7 _6 [( S) J( b$ a% d. y以太坊外汇储备 4 H# i+ \3 b) E" k( x; ~9 }9 t
通常，当交易者想用代币交换其他资产时，他们会向交易所发送代币。因此，如果交易所的ETH储备下降趋势开始逆转，抛售压力可能会增加。
9 p. ^; S( t) Z/ ]! U2 h来源：金色财经 |
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