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[lastpost] => 2758934 加密“淘金热”席卷 亚洲富裕投资者跑步入场(转) 1755792501 九嶷风
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势
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过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。
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PPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
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4 ]0 T; P* a" }3 i) CCPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。
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2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期8 B" l. d3 R7 g: v. I& G7 v/ a
# W( _- a% X' }, o- k当前持仓成本:# [5 I& W8 f. e+ K' S; B
# ^% L2 P& m. [' u$ u机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;( ~& U1 J- d5 f, [; I+ U
- P0 ]0 a1 Y4 l7 a7 ~8 ?% y9 f微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;
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9 ^2 s+ m5 D9 V7 q1 I. j, ]& oETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
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. l$ q+ y1 u3 m. X比特币价值回归:% X5 m6 ?& {; Z
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市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
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5 g" O, r9 r+ w" s' V随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。" |3 j+ E& [5 s+ s
/ d# C6 ?/ @4 |) z7 ~& S! ]加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。; J& I$ B; D: V8 H/ f! M* i
$ I( K1 x0 M0 K2 F8 P3. 市场热点与反弹情况! w& y3 D8 s$ h0 T6 o+ E5 T2 x
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虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。! N8 g, w7 Z7 ^+ G
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机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。! _9 O9 N9 Z. [6 w* e; O
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BTC:: Y! K7 I6 n9 w
9 H9 Z* R# ^$ @1 v尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。, @5 R$ N- `9 x& |( \
4 M/ \; a5 J) l9 {! J. p如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。9 q" O4 ]$ c/ y* ~0 R) k& b
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SOL与XRP:+ k8 Y% L5 S) f
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SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。6 |$ O2 s r: G" C X
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XRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。" P% `& y9 c- d' a! u9 I1 D
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其他热点项目:
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8 D9 T' ?3 L( G9 ]4 i涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
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山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。
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" S, F8 J0 [$ K* E, N; R4. AI赛道与新兴项目- a3 D7 ~+ c* j1 p: h
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AI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。
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蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。9 C3 ^# t& T2 ?# f4 y: p) l
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新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。( Z( g: c4 ]; l, M+ S" B
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市场展望( [) z6 N; J( [% ]) x; X. @* A
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随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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总在线: 3949 小时
本月在线: 15 小时
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