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[lastpost] => 2776968 黄金的抛售如何将比特币推高至20万美元（转） 1761622413 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。% z6 J; z0 O- v) `) v' [& P
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续* Y! ^6 `! D" R' c# ?8 `
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。8 }; [5 p3 o3 T
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。5 ?/ S/ _, s. D" ?0 V% }1 Y0 } p
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。# ?0 T3 C$ M8 w1 i4 ~) ]
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8 e& Q' O0 I& _& r; Q4 ] 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。1 W. C* E. T: E5 R2 W
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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“从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间8 L: h6 _1 p* W+ C2 Z
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框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”* F& x7 F1 K, U6 C( j
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6 Q2 S3 V6 X3 B5 C1 \9 v! S" J 知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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, r/ `1 ?2 I# Q! {% K “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在) q1 y, Y' ^2 z2 L, {- {: H' q8 w
% B( d& u3 L! I+ K积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”
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早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。4 F, p6 e- e/ E4 M6 J3 b
; z" z( N/ T+ u7 t% h 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。$ }! k- t4 |4 i5 w6 ]/ t
; L8 G+ y7 {6 r$ [, E 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势
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: y g( q0 x. j! |3 ~% h/ P3 ~- k 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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+ b8 _, t4 }& g3 r e 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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- [3 s, A4 Y' R( k) g5 `, U) g市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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