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[lastpost] => 2756447 美国7月CPI引爆市场 以太坊再度拉升逼近4,400美元-转 1755617988 爬格子的瘦书生
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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7 J0 ]8 I/ N: v# B& X/ n 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。& k( k9 A& s1 ^, z8 @, U; y n
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3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。9 _, d. G2 _, T/ I3 t5 `
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续 p* T. T( ^& x- H
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。
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' I3 p- _- A" Q( v 市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。6 r7 d7 @4 I2 M0 |, b! Q
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针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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# R. Q0 R$ I3 N 知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。2 x2 a9 u) {/ i% y, p, Y8 e! n
3 ?4 t0 F4 S4 o3 ~; o$ k “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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3 i' W" A1 U; n) P* q( c框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”% a; b% O% x2 G* G/ y& F# q
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。/ ~! x3 a5 e% [8 B4 C- K* n* i
. O: y6 A7 e( r* ?* |" C “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”, ?7 c( ~, S5 ?( L! J
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; b ?9 D! U: N( k% P6 Z" R$ ^ 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。0 m( [% T( q6 U3 p
5 C8 M% ?/ m& k* ]! [# |$ k; H) t0 H; n 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。2 P- _1 t( P5 t" B
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比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势0 D7 b8 S9 e8 U% a9 X2 x
( N) F: `' W) I+ q" \% w- o 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。8 C7 I5 t9 g" A& ~2 }' g3 B+ @
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监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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' H8 V8 |$ ]) ~' X( p5 N0 T 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是， p8 k$ u. t; ]+ I6 S+ d
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市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”& K& p @: J1 j3 n4 B' }. k
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