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[lastpost] => 2759824 比特币:前景或取决于美国GDP及通胀数据 1756649143 垂钓园
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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍,反弹的几率(转)
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26%,但长期流出仍然超过积累。8 U* \7 y. Y7 E6 a9 i2 k+ e% p% g
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。: ^' q3 G9 S1 E
比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象,并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上,并更新了技术势头。发稿时,BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元,在过去24小时内下降了0.33%。
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尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000,但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明,如果关键的结构信号一致,则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入,但是…5 d; \/ x4 g X
鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中,大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41%,这表明当前水平的短期定罪。
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) P/ l! y! A* m但是,更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows,分别下降了-108.09%和-110.13%。
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5 j9 Q. r4 g5 K' k/ U) M% t4 N因此,尽管恢复了最近的恢复,但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。& ]7 q# Q8 V9 |1 v" `
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最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加,过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。
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这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平,并标志着强大的区块链参与。
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然而,热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82%,显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。( V% R: } j" E# l5 F
/ z( W1 `6 J5 Z( w9 A) ?估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突* r0 k0 A6 d7 O, M/ _
几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。* e4 y. Y$ L" A; m! F% p
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处,表明矿工收入在健康范围内。
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同时,NVT和NVM比分别增加了50%和26%,这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 1 c. c/ }- ^4 F0 M) g
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相反,股票与流量的比率下降了50%,表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明,尽管基本面并不弱,但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。' G' a, m. F& L
8 J4 a1 g5 S$ T% E! j此外,Binance清算热图显示,密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域,价格波动通常会加剧。 / E v. g7 F3 [' K- }3 M
! d6 I# K3 O- z- H如果BTC超过$ 98,000,它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算,以增强动力。但是,低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。
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结果,交易者应密切关注这些水平,因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
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BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速?
* l7 E( h. s6 |: A5 x比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。 % L6 o- z0 G, R7 [
2 p6 @' V7 k# |: K7 u' e* K& u但是,长期的卖出压力,负价分支的差异和估值张力表明,突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
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