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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。/ X) ^3 n* h$ b) c- m% j2 l
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。$ n, }! ]3 }) Z1 p8 b
比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。. z7 e4 L4 H j+ b! k6 n- a. A
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尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…; O: S2 H; N2 O! X1 \9 ]
鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。. L" d& `* y8 E* ?& X* k1 y
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但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。6 @ D9 n# a4 g- O$ _; L" N8 {
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因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。
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: |5 Z( W* X7 ^$ Y1 y7 n最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。+ _0 f0 T y( b5 W& L3 U, G) T
4 V/ P3 g0 D+ {这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。
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然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。
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估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突
& N) X" i: z1 t, ?2 M$ c0 I几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。( e, K3 s" i) D* L+ S
1 L( c/ S& E0 I/ B: ?1 fPUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。
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& m& B5 i# \ J, b! c) z同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。
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1 f+ P8 H) I$ G. F相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。3 `5 M8 |! \3 [& U! D( h1 L8 @0 z; F) X
' D" ~" `. m; C9 w此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。
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如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。
$ I% ^( y% l5 E- i% o k( G; H7 F, y' D9 L. \
结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。1 ~" g! c5 M# [0 U+ X4 o+ C
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BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？
" A4 \2 T0 i y3 }% w5 W5 V: I" q比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。 - S2 S$ p# V0 l! I2 N5 J
1 r9 f M( j9 k: U) ^但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。 4 f u4 |# D7 Y5 ~
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