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[lastpost] => 2768559 随着山寨币热潮的兴起，狗狗币的目标是到 2025 年达到 1 美元（转） 1758703600 小钱儿
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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。, l! o; l/ u' u3 {1 ~
Altcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。$ u* c9 U+ @3 p. N2 z6 \7 W
越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。8 g4 d1 `% J* ^) V0 \
你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。
9 r; H2 w$ V1 A9 q9 }3 y从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。6 k6 c3 ^5 i. u" a
alt/btc# S* _0 g% [* c0 D5 x+ @9 @
alt/usdt
8 {5 i }* @3 \8 s5 h- _: E那么，发生了什么？
2 M( A$ H% z2 I1 |4 A1. 大户轮换资金7 o% s+ y1 ~* N
与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。: [9 Q" B. i- d
这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。
2 ^3 e$ m% i" p% _但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。4 {2 ~! w( y T
2. 市场的防御心理
3 @: A( U# `) X6 Z0 D- V投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。
/ N. {/ q: W b Q) f# {这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。2 d4 j0 P* {% [) A# a( m- g/ H
3. 需要关注的信号" t0 |- c# h$ l: h
BTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。# J) g) @+ B t1 Y4 \& ^6 U. t
山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。& m" b" `/ {4 z5 P/ S
USDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。( R& H; x6 ]+ D
4. 对投资者的意义
% a: g8 r$ b; s# b3 [在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。
8 a! K- B( A. ]! P- n% K如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。
7 T; |; Y# o4 _$ g0 m% ^) V" R2 a安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。
H; L3 j9 `' M8 Y# [. g结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。
2 {1 j2 ]% w4 ]6 T8 ?+ \; [#加密货币#6 U- P4 n% X/ W$ o
1 Y$ s, h# m2 ]/ f( i0 I( t4 T |
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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