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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
[复制链接]
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。
% U1 v7 U( @. p/ P8 P, IAltcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。: i) g9 b5 n% |, S" P5 {
越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。, G9 e6 i3 [! `* ?3 Z
你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。
$ z% p' c# h+ j. w |; D* t从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。
[, N2 _. C1 M# Oalt/btc# B7 z- T* m/ \1 B! f& h0 d( K
alt/usdt E7 ~$ o L) P) p, a/ j1 A
那么，发生了什么？
' A/ W$ ]$ r6 k) U& b8 G1. 大户轮换资金. l( \ C; F' D+ h n! h
与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。
: e2 g& M! S4 N这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。
* V* f5 h# J6 N: r7 ]) v& Z$ F- D但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。' x; n7 l( `& e2 C
2. 市场的防御心理
6 g6 Z! f0 W! D- D+ [! C投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。
% O9 J8 ?0 N3 c% y6 o这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。
1 H! E% p/ _9 w5 ~9 R$ ^3. 需要关注的信号+ P. j1 r" }' a, v3 g* H
BTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。6 @! L7 D% q" d
山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。
) [% P( I1 v4 G NUSDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。
' J& I. Q4 D1 g6 y! h5 h: ^4. 对投资者的意义: \% t3 }) d! z- X3 Z2 h% F [
在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。
" J: H* T7 J5 Y. {% y如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。
8 h; ^+ ^- s6 _0 N1 w. g( v安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。 L* {% L4 A/ y4 I9 B. i+ Z( P K
结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。) l8 u! M) M' j, y
#加密货币#
! `- ?5 F$ g, h0 r' p; |7 v! f& M: P% d6 L% N6 F
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当前离线
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当前离线
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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