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[lastpost] => 2768636 “数字金”与“实物金”携手狂飙? 德银重磅预言：比特币与黄金2030年共存于央行储备 1758783918 rainwang
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连锁因素、基本面因素和技术面因素的组合表明，以太多头将面临更多痛苦。
) s" E' N' f- a7 B9 S8 y% {8 b以太坊的原生令牌Ether(埃塞俄比亚)的价值在2022年下跌了一半以上，同时对比特币(BTC)目前仍停留在2000美元以下出于几个原因. + R6 \, C( e$ M/ r [
此外，由于另一系列因素，ETH price可能在6月份面临更大的损失，这些因素将在下面讨论。
. l: d0 b& y- w2 A以太坊基金集体亏损 8 r6 G6 A" R- @# N* A! p0 i
根据CoinShares的每周市场报告，投资者已在2022年从以太坊投资基金中撤出2.5亿美元出版5月31日。 9 L$ M/ ^. i- u. r
与其他硬币形成鲜明对比的是大量外流。例如，投资者在2022年向基于比特币的投资基金投入了3.69亿美元。
6 k- q2 S9 T U% e6 C+ c; B与此同时，与以太坊竞争的区块链第一层协议Solana和Cardano分别吸引了1.04亿美元和900万美元。 : Z; {1 E1 V: ^1 c
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; z; {( o x( a& g流入/流出加密资金(按资产) 7 v0 R- d! c9 k1 g
这从以太坊基金中提款是一个迹象，表明最近在特拉USD (UST)和特拉(月神)Terra内的令牌算法稳定币生态系统——降低了对整体分散金融(DeFi)部门的兴趣。 ; R' q( s. d4 |& G- d, m
以太网的乐观前景仍然依赖于对DeFi市场繁荣的预期，因为以太坊的区块链托管了该领域的大部分金融应用。截至6月5日，基于以太坊的应用程序锁定的总价值(TVL)为6871万美元，几乎占TVL总DeFi的65%。
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0 G5 ~1 x9 \( E% {( e编辑切换为居中
+ @( g {# j d- O' R. } A6 w0 y6月5日的TVL以太坊
- J/ P) j+ c5 a; }+ r' I但是，TVL仍然反映了以太坊DeFi池的大规模撤退，在5月9日Luna Classic和TerraUSD Classic倒闭之前，该池徘徊在1000亿美元左右。 0 b$ M1 |! w5 a$ p' U' S
宏观风险由美联储的鹰派政策根据Tagus Capital的合伙人Ilan Solot的说法，加上对DeFi行业的谨慎前景，乙醚似乎将在6月份继续下跌。 3 V$ L, g9 ?5 K% n# L
男性讲述金融时报:
, q, B/ j, L4 h“如果美联储收紧，世界陷入衰退，人们需要支付每加仑4.5美元的汽油，他们将没有多少钱投资DeFi或花在区块链奥运会上。”
, I6 r3 c. l5 w) q# e2 w/ l呆滞的技术面 5 X; x# y$ v7 W" f) _* Q
自5月以来的交易行为也描绘了以太坊的熊市前景。 * x8 q/ s+ O6 `+ n; L8 a! ~5 x4 }
具体来说，乙醚一直在水平趋势线支撑和下降趋势线阻力所限定的范围内波动。该形态看起来或多或少像一个“下降三角形”，在下降趋势中形成的熊市延续形态。
9 ]9 @; G1 V" b3 z& F: {根据技术分析的规则，下跌三角形在价格决定性地跌破其支撑趋势线后分解，然后下跌三角形的最大高度。如下图所示，乙醚有可能在6月份经历类似的下跌。 : v; s) ~8 Y) ~4 t' T/ `
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0 h* [3 v/ m4 C' o% r- v1 EETH/USD每日价格图采用“下降三角形”设置 - z# U7 y' I1 X( p5 V! v
如果ETH的价格跌破三角形的趋势线下限，它可能会在6月份跌至1，350美元，比今天的价格下跌约25%。 - O$ y) f9 o) } b1 y' S
交易所的ETH储备正在增加
5 u5 v% o I( n! H9 e9 x& a( ~CryptoQuant的数据显示，自5月份以来，全球加密交易所的以太网余额总数增加了550，459以太网演出.
9 d' p7 ~3 v/ {, r自Terra崩溃开始以来，这相当于近9.5亿美元的资金流入了交易所的热门钱包。 3 s( A+ C: N" p1 u. ~" {
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W% d9 c" y- _9 \0 X) l0 @以太坊外汇储备 8 [8 ?: u* I$ F7 w
通常，当交易者想用代币交换其他资产时，他们会向交易所发送代币。因此，如果交易所的ETH储备下降趋势开始逆转，抛售压力可能会增加。
2 i& D$ [) i0 b5 ^6 t来源：金色财经 |
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