×
Array
(
[fid] => 6980
[description] =>
[password] =>
[icon] =>
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 75
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6980
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6895,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6975,6976,6799,6974,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6845,6879,1121,6980
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 4
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6980
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
)
[digest] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 4
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 3
[fid] => 6980
[rulename] => 加精华
[action] => digest
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] =>
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[status] => 1
[required] => 0
[listable] => 0
[types] => Array
(
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] =>
[postperm] =>
[replyperm] =>
[getattachperm] =>
[postattachperm] =>
[postimageperm] =>
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:0:"";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6974
[type] => sub
[name] => 币圈资讯
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 0
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 49587
[posts] => 49655
[todayposts] => 0
[yesterdayposts] => 0
[rank] => 62
[oldrank] => 60
[lastpost] => 2682846 彭博分析师预计比特币ETF期权将于 2025 年 Q1 推出 1728526620 比推快讯
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 1
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 0
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 0
[jammer] => 0
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 0
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 0
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
BKEX Global视角:本轮下跌是否已经止跌了?
[复制链接]
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 分钟
本月在线: 分钟
|
|
在之前的文章里,BKEX小编曾经说过,大牛市源于defi,熊市也源于defi,我们可以看下图对比,defi的锁仓量与eth的价格曲线,几乎是惊人的相似。defi的锁仓量在最高值是254亿U左右,现在已经跌到了71.52billion,也就是说用户存到defi的价值已经变成了71.52亿u的数值,如果按最高点的峰值计算,以借贷质押率的清算线一般是70%,也就是从高点,用户可以借出177亿u的资产,如果都没有还的话,借出去的资产已经远远的超过了现在持有的锁仓数值,当然这是比较理想的计算方式,并且一般质押都没有时间的限制,也就是只要没有到清仓线,用户可以一直质押下去,当质押得到的资产已经远超过现在的质押资产,估计也没有人愿意再拿资金去赎回。暂时来说清算杠杆没有太大的吸引力,也就不会让一些机构被迫卖掉手中的BTC,ETH来降低清算线。或是由于币价的下跌,无法及时添加保证金,而被直接清算这部分加密货币流入市场卖出造成价格大幅下跌。
(数据来源于defiliama)
(数据来源于BKEX)
从BKEX的ETH周线走势图来看,周线已经出现针,表明了当前行情暂时止跌,会迎来一部分反弹,但是否真正止跌了呢?
我们知道本轮熊市的触发点还是大环境,大环境非常的差,欧美的高通胀率,导致不得以采取加息的政策,甚至是缩表来降低,并且俄乌战争更加加剧了能源等大宗商品的上涨,使得经济复苏更加雪上加霜。各大公司的股票暴跌,一些公司为了存活下去,只能减缓或是裁剪业务,使得大批人员失业,并且在疫情下,更多的人意向收紧腰包过日子,居民出行和消费的减少,对经济的恢复有很大的阻碍,因此美联储的加息和缩表带来大环境的影响是非常巨大的。
并且加密市场ust的脱锚,让百亿市值的luna归零,这让市场信心下降到冰点,触发后续一系列的defi清算,不仅是散户的逃散,而是机构级别的清算,当杠杆清无可清的时候,也许就是市场的低点。
对于现在的市场的初步反弹来说,还不能太过于乐观,后续的市场可能会持续的低靡,在低靡的市场里,BKEX Global推出了疯狂合约产品,回馈广大用户,在“疯狂合约”模式中,合约盈利率越高,则可获得越多盈利加成,欢迎体验。
来源:金色财经 |
|
|
|
|
|
|