×
Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯,数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 27039
[posts] => 426698
[todayposts] => 1062
[yesterdayposts] => 338
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2758131 以太坊回落了,冲击最高点真不容易啊 1755602944 jackcool1011
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 4970 小时
本月在线: 35 小时
|
|
1. 宏观因素影响市场走势
k& ^" F Y7 v, A# Y9 N, w$ c5 g3 H
: L; A: u' Z1 q8 c) T8 ]& K过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。; o8 e& C9 k0 }2 J+ Q8 E* P
3 ~( {; f. H) a- _0 S! D- R
PPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
. i. {& U$ K3 s, {* K8 R( Y4 |, o
CPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。7 p. y% W6 B. C
8 `7 W, N' ~5 t7 [# g2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期2 L0 {) b. R7 c7 T7 g+ J
% T, h7 ^7 t7 C9 j D) ] c当前持仓成本:
$ Z8 j0 ]9 }7 K2 {0 c6 w3 [' `, M3 ~7 r( o/ I! t! q
机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;9 L9 L3 D: o* q3 ~) G4 Y+ N
: r) \+ u4 `! Q( y
微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;8 f$ I4 |9 b( k
) [( k) T5 V* b; HETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
8 q1 K3 I0 j7 q$ ]( s2 b9 Z% L9 g4 m' a, C% H
比特币价值回归:& m$ D% z _4 ]% {1 N+ Y
+ E5 B4 t+ W1 Q, J% m! w$ C9 _
市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
2 a8 s) ^! O+ E2 y% A1 w: [& o6 D7 G; n. Q+ U
随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。4 ] G3 ^0 E8 J; N: {9 e8 O) R
; }% `0 W: {. {; ?/ D0 g加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。7 s2 ]4 Y' U' \' i7 p7 W. L6 x
' T# I7 C5 ~9 n5 u2 u. n3. 市场热点与反弹情况
6 n2 g! n. i) C( }- W F" `4 h9 K7 n" Y8 b" z
ETH:( f. F" _6 Y, R' B$ o
# E- D+ Z# ]1 r9 [5 ?/ W
虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。' n; x$ U5 Z4 {. H+ e8 R6 y& i
, |8 v$ k' V. u) f/ U: U
机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。
/ z8 i. m. _( V. _9 ^/ H& d4 n. x
$ S7 A7 _$ ? d8 [ S9 Z$ H2 QBTC:
. J' s; |# ]0 ~" l5 E G# d! X G% h/ x9 q h! C) O; _
尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。
1 W# R. s& t9 P
! `9 T* n k& K! W7 l X% Q! k如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。% m3 }! e. C' ~3 ?! C) k
* @* D- F" P, ]1 d7 o3 BSOL与XRP:
: L$ Z9 a, [: {5 B% b& I
/ o1 U2 n1 ?0 q' y% ESOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。
* B9 R* R# r$ Y* L# {' K5 l3 @- _+ P( V2 r7 s! I% y# H: [
XRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。
# t& d% e/ d: W8 _4 N" m
: R0 C, i' E0 U5 x5 k* O% T其他热点项目:
% X9 m- I" Y5 R* F0 c# n% y" ^. i0 j2 [5 j, o& e/ B- f
涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
, o3 t: I8 C3 f+ q
6 h, k# W7 ?1 u ?- x7 Q% k山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。 a* X5 _$ m1 A, h' {0 q- e
/ C) n% R6 }8 Q8 n- G" p4. AI赛道与新兴项目2 S- B9 E: P3 ?) c
( ?6 f" ^: `! C. n DAI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。
P; x# E2 w% u& Y, j; c+ U
3 t e: s! \8 S1 ^蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。
( h2 i/ Z7 C5 D: \6 X G; U% K& s2 N( `8 a
新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。
6 q& k k5 U Y& m9 k/ O( N( Y! _' J; r/ w; y9 p
市场展望
( j9 M9 Y; L! [9 _$ U: D* C% h7 g d4 }* y2 r7 i
随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。
; C; |) }+ d5 p- v" u+ N" h- i& N7 Z8 e1 I8 ]8 }
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13269 小时
本月在线: 56 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 8967 小时
本月在线: 20 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 19155 小时
本月在线: 76 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 10207 小时
本月在线: 33 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 2846 小时
本月在线: 24 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3949 小时
本月在线: 15 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|