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[lastpost] => 2752202 别被“纸黄金(ETF)”骗了!清崎再次发声:危机来时,照片里的枪开不了火! 1753895355 天策-瑶娥
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BTC在过去一周中恢复了适度的恢复,徒步旅行2.81%。
5 `" z/ `$ d1 D& S比特币的杠杆比率下降,因为投机需求降温,而现货需求上升。
7 l! K, m0 M7 M& Q: t- W在过去的一周中,比特币[BTC]继续向侧面交易。实际上,截至撰写本文时,比特币在上升0.22%后的交易价格为07.052美元。4 {5 V2 s3 a9 ^* V# d3 Y: y
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此外,BTC在每周和每月的图表上分别远足2.81%和2.89%。. b0 R Z& ]7 h0 Y: G& i+ {
; c* g" h& M" `8 H, e最近的价格泵提出了有关哪些因素驱动它的问题。 Inasmuch,加密分析师Dan提出,BTC的杠杆比率降低,BTC的机构需求和长期积累的较高。
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比特币的杠杆率降低
; K2 N: g4 n5 |: Q2 p根据CryptoQuant自11月21日以来,比特币的杠杆比率已下降。杠杆比率的下降表明,相对于集中式交易所可用的BTC,开放利息(OI)正在下降。
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从历史上看,较低的杠杆比率降低了清算级联的风险,从而使价格动作更有机而不是衍生品驱动。
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同样,相对于价格,OI到市场上限也有所下降。这种下降表明,价格图的收益在很大程度上是由现货需求而不是投机驱动的。
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: S6 l+ K( y: o3 ] {6 I卖出比率也证明了这一趋势,这意味着随着市场的降温,较长的头寸即将结束。
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值得注意的是,至关重要的是,CEX储备还经历了持续下降。在此期间,BTC在购买比特币ETF的同时转移到了Coinbase Prime。当CEX储备下降时,这意味着可以出售的BTC较少。 Coinbase的流量增加表明,大型参与者,尤其是机构正在积累。
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N& {; j8 X2 L0 v9 T当所有这些市场行为融合在一起时,这意味着比特币目前正在看到健康的市场。价格不是由杠杆驱动的,使未来的集会更加可持续。
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这对BTC意味着什么( p7 ^* S% I" M& d) N, Q8 c
随着杠杆率较小,机构积极积累的杠杆率较小,这表明市场正在经历强烈的看涨情绪。
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: t: J' h# g S/ n例如,比特币的Coinbase Premium指数在过去一周中一直保持积极。这不仅表明了美国投资者的积极情绪,而且还提高了机构的需求。
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从历史上看,机构的需求更高,在提高价格上涨方面发挥了关键作用。9 A4 U; X# u+ T* x
$ g0 Q! b: u6 \4 Q% w此外,比特币的基金市场溢价在过去的一天中飙升了积极。当这变得积极时,这意味着投资者是看好的,渴望的短裤以保持自己的职位。
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" @, Q$ y$ O, b( I& B8 w/ K+ w这意味着渴望的价格会在短期内上涨。
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8 o, u) P# C. n6 X" K最后,市场参与者越来越积累,流出量超过流入。 Exchange Netflow已下降到-2.9k,随着投资者继续积累,反映了更多的交换提款。7 q! n D9 V, z! s
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读 比特币的[BTC]价格预测 2025–2026, O& Z* Z0 Q7 F6 C! v, C, Q
. b, ~3 x' p! w) {$ j& W5 Z; B9 H% w简而言之,随着零售和大型持有人的积累,比特币正在增强看涨的势头。这种市场行为表明,BTC市场已经冷却,将加密货币定位为进一步的收益。" b# g/ U J+ N# {* h6 }) u
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如果这种情绪成立,BTC将在短期回收$ 98,127,然后尝试突破至$ 10万美元。随后,这里的回调将使比特币降至$ 95,800。
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