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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境- r+ G8 D- O- F7 T: ]/ u
Stablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破
: D4 q( c6 Z; n+ X( B$ P! H- u似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。
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5 J) f/ }& s" w实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。
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这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。
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4 v2 @8 q6 c4 A在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。" }( Z, r6 m- r- i2 S/ s
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红色海洋中的四个幸存者 w% b' E% X: Y' c2 o/ G* q" \
根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。
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% ~; F; b3 \& L4 g) G6 g$ s简而言之,表现不佳。# Q8 `3 f2 C5 ~0 d
! \3 Q$ z7 ?& X+ d; `# B ~' G大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。
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u, c6 w8 Q/ _1 A. Z2 e相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。
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自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。+ E& R! E0 n3 L5 i
. R) Z6 X- t9 v6 R. Y- {/ {Altcoin信誉的消失法案* [5 a0 x5 s* S; S8 ~
滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。' i9 I" W7 e+ p) \/ }* Y1 ^6 {2 D
8 J& q; z3 F e* B/ s( c交易的势头最近也消失了。
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+ {( ]- y1 T$ e4 u" p+ P' G12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。
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( \! a! e' j' @) ^5 J( Y# h这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。9 S* E1 v6 O" m# S
5 b9 Z5 c4 ` W十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。& C+ R0 z- P/ [! l/ o6 N
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比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。
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当高峰转向警告时8 J$ W3 g! c7 I% f3 C* M! k( U
2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。1 j6 e+ X$ _( d, {
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比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。
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这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。; {% [* I0 N2 B+ L1 V! \) N' E
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每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。
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比特币还是胸围?
! g: \6 B5 a. W5 [+ C; X存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。" J; ] B& x4 u' Q1 l
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就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。
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