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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境
9 D- Q: }& P. T- Y1 ^* j, I, m8 u2 \Stablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破
) Z) S: Q4 Q8 ]- f- l似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。% z8 h. {3 o S* d
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实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。
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' a& I( j {- q( M这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。
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]8 o- P+ a! n$ n在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。' ]1 C" X- B( W" S) P
6 \7 X& p e) e- ^红色海洋中的四个幸存者4 D1 n% x: G' ^% x% [1 W! _) @ W
根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。& ?7 E; `6 q# g. o( D
3 V: j# l% }0 h& A简而言之,表现不佳。( S' U! p3 @: q6 t# S6 }8 B' G& \
" W; x4 u8 M- p0 L7 J) [大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。$ l6 d, F+ o ~# ~
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相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。
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自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。8 f5 ^' i9 I. s/ @, K3 C; j; h o
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Altcoin信誉的消失法案
1 M) M' S) f" B, g3 p9 x' E# b滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。+ r! J% C/ ~ w, D
1 G% d; m: P4 L, k$ G4 S交易的势头最近也消失了。( Y6 `# p2 n. Y6 H$ m5 x
7 E k5 x# V3 w% r" h) `12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。, o, y+ J3 ]: V R% E R8 P
( j& G# f7 u( o$ t这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。8 L9 j4 G9 E# H. }0 N; {% t
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十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。
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比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。# G, x& p7 O- Y8 }0 ~0 d5 ?6 n
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当高峰转向警告时
1 b" S, a E2 W8 Z" F2 W7 K2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。/ s, J6 J! v4 {
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比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。
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这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。
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每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。
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& C$ o; y, @5 Y比特币还是胸围?
% D+ f1 Y4 W) ^7 K存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。, G4 R' I9 |- g0 U8 D: y3 E
% p1 G0 d$ a- c6 {5 j就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。8 I- _. \8 J$ x$ t0 k
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