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[lastpost] => 2749629 关税、就业、降息预期极限拉扯，BTC劲升9.08%，创历史新高（07.07~07.13）（转） 1752668153 mattf
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[虚拟币交流]
贸易战缓和交易员乐观情绪再现 月底前押注比特币重上10万元美（转）
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在美国总统川普关税立场出现转变的背景下，比特币（BTC）快速回升，从上周触及的低点迅速拉升至超过8.4万美元，一扫此前的市场疲态。随着币价反弹，投资者情绪也明显回暖，期权市场由原先的保守防守转为积极布局，看涨情绪浓厚，10万美元买权再度成为交易热点。
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10万美元看涨期权交易量急升根据加密衍生品交易所 Deribit （目前最大的加密货币期权交易所）的数据，近期市场出现显著变化，投资人纷纷抛弃此前大量持有的7.5万至7.8万美元的看跌期权（Put Options），并转而增加对8.5万至10万美元看涨期权（Call Options）的押注，显示出对比特币未来几周上涨的期待升温。 9 q% ~3 G" h5 f" w. s n) L' x
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仍有交易员押注明日前站不稳83,000美元据 coinglass 数据，Deribit上成交量最大的比特币期权为4月25日到期的10万美元看涨，交易量十大期权有八大是看涨，上榜的看跌权只有82,000美元及83,000美元的周二到期期权。 8 h2 L. k+ H: d b7 |3 |
- X( ^! i- `8 H% Z d* g& p! F" M. N政策缓和成为反弹催化剂比特币的强劲反弹与政策面的变化密切相关。此前川普团队宣布对多国商品实施新一轮高额关税，其中对天朝商品的关税税率最高达到125%，一度引发市场剧烈波动。但短短几天内，白宫突然软化立场，宣布对智能手机等关键科技产品予以豁免。尽管川普本人随后否认政策出现让步，但市场仍普遍视此为正面信号，带动资金重新流入高风险资产。
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