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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普打算解锁4000万代币：投资者的下一步是什么？（转）
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特朗普令牌即将到来的4000万代币解锁可能会触发脆弱的市场情绪中的抛售
, @! r* S% [2 V自推出以来，价格下降了89％，4月18日之前的前景不确定
6 w& A( k+ `" X( Q- O U. m在Memecoin历史上，倒计时已经开始了最高的代币解锁之一。 4月18日，特朗普官方[特朗普]令牌将发布4000万个令牌流通，目前价值约3.3亿美元。. n; w/ U: \* i! t8 a; n
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总供应量的20％，主要分配给内部人士。对于自推出以来一直在流血的图表，这一事件可能是重置叙事或加深下降的火花。0 }: ~3 D2 [* s- W0 L- \9 D6 \3 o! L
/ J7 N. U. c1 ~7 Y/ V; [内幕分配引起了重量解锁的危险信号2 S" j* o, X3 Y4 J6 }
目前只有20％的特朗普总供应量流传，即将到来的4000万个令牌的解锁占该浮点数的20％，这是一方面。6 e' O7 \& e2 s5 E% {
$ e8 R$ n8 l/ ^: {" m9 ]
这项耗资3.32亿美元的Unlock计划于4月18日，有投资者处于边缘状态，尤其是因为新发布的令牌分配了内部分配。( K* h, L [" e- Q/ G
( i8 w8 z! L: C7 h" m. Z从历史上看这样的解锁通常导致销售压力增加。特朗普已经大大低于其顶峰，市场情绪仍然脆弱。
7 F/ x3 E" }" z/ B6 }
# V& W8 P- t- \5 W0 i& d" [每日发行49.3万代币，相当于近410万美元的潜在卖方压力，加剧了人们的关注。如果置信度进一步削弱，则这种解锁可能是更严重衰退的催化剂。
2 L: w. j- u" H! r& d1 R, \1 |# e) d) @2 _& d& \2 W( v
特朗普价格前景7 C8 B4 q( b4 }* ] o$ V
特朗普的代币价格一直处于延长趋势，在短暂反弹后发稿时徘徊在8.43美元左右。
9 x& [6 l" ~# N& q2 U; `4 ^5 r& |
这标志着自推出以来的89％下降了89％。 RSI在38.90时仍然弱，信号持续看跌势头和缺乏强大的购买压力。) I. c4 h, C/ }6 a. C3 D8 H
( [/ `5 s; f* b1 ]7 G
同时，MACD刚刚进入积极的领域，但信号仍然微弱且令人信服。尽管较小的提升，但价格行动仍在近期低点附近，表明市场犹豫。
7 v3 W( `6 Y) L
2 f/ D- W3 y A3 E& M交易量也显得很薄，表明公牛缺乏信念。如果没有明显的突破或情感转变，任何集会都可能是短暂的，尤其是在大型解锁事件迫在眉睫的情况下。: [5 i8 Y% Q0 V5 e: N! G: C
* F( J/ ^7 `! I7 p8 w- P9 Y: n
过去解锁了一个警示性的故事
( p. s; i- F' Z; B" N9 z% J与内幕分配相关的代币解锁以导致价格下跌而闻名，尤其是在市场情绪疲软时期。, |2 K! D( s( g8 N- v; d2 ^+ g9 g9 I
# v7 p' M$ y* _
从历史上看，大规模的发行版，例如来自Aptos和intinum的发行版，已经充满了供应过多的市场。这种过度供应经常压倒性的要求，导致价格下降。6 S. n2 A' f- t( \
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在流动性有限且炒作周期高度挥发性的Memecoin市场中，影响通常更为明显。特朗普遵循这些趋势，使无关后的抛售可能。: F% o& z: ^; s- R& \
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