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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普打算解锁4000万代币：投资者的下一步是什么？（转）
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特朗普令牌即将到来的4000万代币解锁可能会触发脆弱的市场情绪中的抛售
# L j) F" R( n1 E# p0 a自推出以来，价格下降了89％，4月18日之前的前景不确定
( v0 G; T7 {: A! }在Memecoin历史上，倒计时已经开始了最高的代币解锁之一。 4月18日，特朗普官方[特朗普]令牌将发布4000万个令牌流通，目前价值约3.3亿美元。
# R8 t' L( u; I f" I% Y' t, f* I5 H m8 b! R4 ^) K
总供应量的20％，主要分配给内部人士。对于自推出以来一直在流血的图表，这一事件可能是重置叙事或加深下降的火花。" [) d# B) N& K" h. C; T/ p
% N+ m' J! Z% f& g# J4 R N" i
内幕分配引起了重量解锁的危险信号
t8 u5 g G, q' b7 B; S目前只有20％的特朗普总供应量流传，即将到来的4000万个令牌的解锁占该浮点数的20％，这是一方面。
$ c1 e" v) u- ?; e/ y' ~
2 m T# k) W5 [- R这项耗资3.32亿美元的Unlock计划于4月18日，有投资者处于边缘状态，尤其是因为新发布的令牌分配了内部分配。
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( p' O$ O+ k/ e9 x7 ~从历史上看这样的解锁通常导致销售压力增加。特朗普已经大大低于其顶峰，市场情绪仍然脆弱。! _( }' {5 b7 ]
7 C- p4 {* N* M4 D. H' y5 e4 l每日发行49.3万代币，相当于近410万美元的潜在卖方压力，加剧了人们的关注。如果置信度进一步削弱，则这种解锁可能是更严重衰退的催化剂。
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特朗普价格前景
/ l5 k; Z8 k6 \4 d# @ @- K" |0 c( p特朗普的代币价格一直处于延长趋势，在短暂反弹后发稿时徘徊在8.43美元左右。
" v! [; o9 a$ m: ] I- z/ _. e; n3 Y
这标志着自推出以来的89％下降了89％。 RSI在38.90时仍然弱，信号持续看跌势头和缺乏强大的购买压力。
% W0 M4 F; B5 s& n4 O* j; z9 @2 |3 u& V, M2 y
同时，MACD刚刚进入积极的领域，但信号仍然微弱且令人信服。尽管较小的提升，但价格行动仍在近期低点附近，表明市场犹豫。% W. r' \/ k! \6 `% i9 f
. Q7 m7 V9 ~- P7 ]" A: Z6 `交易量也显得很薄，表明公牛缺乏信念。如果没有明显的突破或情感转变，任何集会都可能是短暂的，尤其是在大型解锁事件迫在眉睫的情况下。# z* A' b) v- e+ C4 P" Q. m
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过去解锁了一个警示性的故事* G9 D. ?' \+ f* g
与内幕分配相关的代币解锁以导致价格下跌而闻名，尤其是在市场情绪疲软时期。- ], D$ Y0 K2 M: U8 r
" B6 B, |! @# _8 O. g8 ?4 j从历史上看，大规模的发行版，例如来自Aptos和intinum的发行版，已经充满了供应过多的市场。这种过度供应经常压倒性的要求，导致价格下降。
7 ]7 V; [0 Q1 X; B( b a, n* A' N& ]$ m; c \6 q
在流动性有限且炒作周期高度挥发性的Memecoin市场中，影响通常更为明显。特朗普遵循这些趋势，使无关后的抛售可能。2 y. \9 U, P8 ^6 Q. Q( e# I$ {, U- s/ m
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