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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。8 ?/ V! v, @$ ]& V$ z
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
8 C$ b& O# x& T6 ~+ R9 ~) r A0 N+ O尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
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市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？) L% t$ g; x4 P' k
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随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。+ e' l+ F+ a8 Q0 `' ]2 ~1 h
9 q& Y0 V5 R, k T: F牛un云蒙上阴影% {; c$ O0 [0 ?/ |
最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。, C& y) A2 B/ V' V
4 ]) J& t' h9 [& `* a8 r, R即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。0 A; {4 t8 u" |2 Z
! _, x5 d$ Q: M- Q; _5 I, Y这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。
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尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。
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BTC背后的机构引擎
$ o9 M- W; ], N9 _; V6 L在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。
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这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。5 e( e3 E/ ?, Y+ x+ ~9 p/ I
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与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。. A3 W2 p# s9 R+ s; I6 q
5 B; r/ K7 F/ D1 m. q: A机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。
7 C; c3 i. a( v1 ?( J3 V* l2 H3 j& h3 ^7 }( w3 h. ]
怎么了？
" `1 R- [. i4 G尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
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( t( j7 l* c. ~4 m) N2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
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风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。
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尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
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