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[lastpost] => 2751814 特斯拉在最糟糕的时机抛售了75%的比特币，错失数十亿美元收益（转） 1753396513 九嶷风
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。. o t: t8 u p
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该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国
2 N9 a/ F/ S! B5 w, y' z% Z; d8 B; W3 ^
( p7 h4 l6 y/ N1 k市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。% w3 c1 [ D6 }9 U
% Q1 b; }, ]5 y# ?3 s5 Y 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而
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“短期看空”比特币。9 Z/ E* J6 o6 F; l8 W2 N
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“在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已
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实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”
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报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。
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' K9 m$ [" u+ k y 根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，
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而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。
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) ~6 k4 J8 l0 N3 m7 i BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的
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- O' `9 T& d6 `0 u: H+ D利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”! t4 m$ K; a9 g' Q4 l, I* Z
( h( Y4 `; J, o. N6 e0 L “尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，
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1 ^3 @( r8 {4 l h- a8 i2 W将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”( x# @' K! Y* l2 B! o
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