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[lastpost] => 2749381 日本Metaplanet成全球第五大比特币企业持有者 前四位均为美国企业-转 1752595940 NBA专家
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。* w) c8 g: K! D6 A" K
- \: ?, q' h5 V& g+ b 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国
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市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。; Y$ M, F/ |& m; O0 F2 R& f) v
* Z- O8 c2 b, S* |5 p8 ]/ M4 t0 d* i 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而
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9 f( Y8 u9 U* s1 f“短期看空”比特币。
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, w4 h* u7 G) }. K E “在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已" L3 S3 ] E$ a* X9 F, \
) W% ^- ^% Y# I3 E) C实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”" U$ z" Q3 R2 y7 [2 I ]4 T; |
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报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。- w% w/ X& A7 C0 y3 b' S1 a) I4 w9 S" u
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根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，8 q# ?3 N. q y: f
& S; a( a0 w4 m而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。
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BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的
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利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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0 d* O# _# }' v( T) e+ D1 G “尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，
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* u2 n) F$ w" H0 i T( Q& b将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”
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