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[lastpost] => 2769796 周一的虚拟币市场走的还算不错 1759115310 22301
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。7 g% W6 I7 w2 P% N
$ \( K# ^ x l8 G# f 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国
5 ?5 v6 r$ v4 e! i3 ]& \, s, Q9 Y T( E5 j- t2 N' V( B
市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。# f6 P, n- y1 R) f/ J1 d. J
* ~$ Q2 i9 \/ p& O5 y 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而
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“短期看空”比特币。- U# j& u, F, r8 m) R8 j' Q
, b4 {2 | W9 F2 |" H “在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已
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实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”. @' }5 w. z3 _0 r- z H/ _: H
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报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。9 M6 w$ F. a& m6 G0 F
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% @% b, d5 n, E% k# \: T& e 根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，
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0 M4 J; K; b, J! \% |而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。
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( w( x% c; ]0 l `, C BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的0 b& [' V. a# a7 [
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利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”, |! m. U8 u p* U4 C) \
/ f; g' K6 [4 i H5 y “尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，
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将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”
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