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[lastpost] => 2771032 比特币可能飙升至 165,000 美元，因与黄金的比较引发人们的兴趣（转） 1759502574 人生如赌
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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
[复制链接]
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。
9 P4 A i* ~* P+ t9 p5 \; X! LAltcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。& ?- [, l4 C* }/ B0 N
越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。
4 }5 w4 ^# o- U6 x+ d* N7 h你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。1 H5 |: X- Q' @- \+ A. V) P4 Q
从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。" i5 K F- x( `1 w/ j5 @& P
alt/btc* J- q7 O& l4 U/ {' B
alt/usdt
+ e+ D, ]9 ^& B2 X$ u那么，发生了什么？
! m, B$ i: m; `: y# J F1. 大户轮换资金
/ t* G. r% d+ V ^% p) T与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。
+ x7 M- \! r) n5 p这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。
# ?$ y, u. {/ c+ ]' d$ u- O) t但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。
; Q1 I R& G( y) z: D( W U3 o4 T2. 市场的防御心理7 i! _ f: I. K" V" W2 Y
投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。 `" X0 K- M) W
这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。, ?6 k! A1 w2 L' Y% R+ ]
3. 需要关注的信号+ i. K6 f) P' Z% r) V; s) s2 L
BTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。
5 X, w# `( f2 M& ~" s山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。8 K7 s0 }8 {& N$ v
USDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。
+ ~" D8 b3 D3 b7 o+ h; Q$ F9 p' U. p4. 对投资者的意义
; ]( m- r0 t: Y) ?6 I$ u1 {3 l在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。+ H' \+ I9 l l5 D+ m
如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。
+ e) z# A" X9 S# `安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。
* H8 r& }( U4 ]3 v0 }结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。
- t0 e7 d$ ?8 B: V! J+ o- g0 G* ]4 R#加密货币#
. U2 Y3 F& O% T8 H) j
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当前离线
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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