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[虚拟币交流]
比特币、以太坊、XRP 和 Solana 暴跌：美联储会议后市场解读（转）
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美联储本月降息，但加密货币市场的反应远比许多人预期的要温和得多。投资者原本期待比特币（尤其是山寨币）立即上涨，但比特币却持续横盘整理。 比特币跌至约 112,761 美元，过去一周下跌超过 3%；以太坊跌至 4,086 美元，同期下跌超过 11%。XRP 跌至 2.89 美元，跌幅超过 6%，BNB 回落至 1,007 美元。Solana 在主要资产中回调幅度最大，下跌超过 15%，至 208 美元。 为何降息后市场常常陷入困境[url=]分析师斯科特·梅尔克（Scott Melker）解释道[/url]降息周期往往遵循一个熟悉的模式。首先，收益率曲线反转，然后恢复正常，美联储最终转向降息。在许多情况下，市场在降息后表现不佳，几个月后才企稳并进入新的周期。 这一次，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将降息决定描述为一种防御性举措。他指出就业市场疲软，通胀上升，但仍选择降息。这类信息表明存在潜在的经济问题，这引发了人们的谨慎而非兴奋。从历史上看，大多数降息都是因为经济出现了问题。 为什么加密货币尚未做出反应消息公布后的几天里，股市上涨，金价逼近每盎司3800美元，表明避险资产正在受到关注。然而，比特币正在盘整，预期中的山寨币[飙升]尚未完全爆发。 尽管如此，近期发行的代币表现出强劲势头。Solana 和以太坊今年早些时候走势强劲，而 Aster 和 Hemi 等新项目也实现了巨额收益。许多分析师认为，与过去的周期相比，这表明市场结构更加健康。 市场情绪依然分裂投资者情绪依然分歧。一些交易员坚定看涨，相信ETF、新规以及机构投资者兴趣的上升是长期利好。另一些人则继续看跌，警告称疲软的经济数据和滞胀风险可能拖累所有风险资产走低。 尽管存在这种分歧，但人们普遍认为，供需动态应该有助于比特币维持强劲的基础。随着ETF获批、资金公司购买以及关于战略储备的讨论正在进行，在当前环境下，买家多于卖家。 0 k. ^; E" \6 ]% u( z: k$ A
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这波降息市场没嗨起来，说明大家更怕经济衰退信号，短期谨慎氛围浓。
, N# n0 z" N- l% C1 o6 d |
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市场没马上拉升正常，降息背后代表经济隐忧，大家更谨慎了。, ^( R0 i; |4 c" R" b
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