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[真人] 百家乐的大、小概率,来个高人看看
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1#
现在网上百家乐偶尔有些场子是有买大小的,大(5、6张牌),小(4张牌)。想求教大小出现的概率是多少!来个高人帮忙算算!3 ]; W& |! e5 J* I
感谢!
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2#
这个不会搞呢。。
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3#
回复 1# ccfilm
6 }4 Z, W5 O) W* R$ k$ N& u: C' g+ p) X. C1 M8 e8 r( p

  Y' x  a2 s9 f$ H$ H4 L: c   我算不上高人,但有一点可以肯定的告诉你,买百家乐的大小你绝占不到便宜!!!
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4#
大小张牌太鬼,不要买啊朋友,就押庄闲就可以
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主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
具体的不知道,反正买大小你会吃大亏。
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6#
已经查到了,贴出来各位参考:
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* F( L: b9 S( g* Z0 \' c1 U2 H百家乐大小概率:
) l9 V1 I: n( }* Z小分3种情况:
. K1 l, ]# X* ~, A$ _1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。
; l7 z% `5 M" J2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
; j8 ]: e+ R* F3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。
5 c; K% ~  O( G. M2 D& I; [: C2张牌8或9点的情况有:$ _  ?6 \0 l6 }9 |8 C6 P7 J1 E
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+107 V! d" Z. O" A. r+ G! c
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
1 k7 R1 `  R# i, R6 i0 R4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415  `$ A( O0 H% l
8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
5 P1 T/ f0 k% ]" F- P由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。
% X  n' l, `: g% d% u3 [通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。) p% j: Y9 M1 F' |8 g7 n4 J
那么我们可以得出
' R1 \3 S- \& u5 V5 [7 h# K8 A1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
5 W1 p+ u# }/ `& S2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171  
" R, {0 g# _: W3 W. ~% Y3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491
6 q3 v% V5 O$ _% N, r/ z所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
2 X) B% O3 O' @% j0 E9 {百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
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7#
小0.3788693233 p! m  F" s- i# Z" j
大0.621130677
+ ~3 r; }# s( o/ p2 K1 F9 V1 p8 D& J" K; }' c
由此得知小赔1.5,大赔0.54的情况下,
. ~* Z9 |, q/ o' |- h1 j& H: ?5 c- k6 I
小的收益率为-0.139432488
+ c" ^7 v9 i  N% S' J; b大的收益率为-0.069967173

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参与人数 1经验 +5 收起 理由
avatar 天策-团团 + 5 谢谢解答

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8#
若要正期望值,则赔率应为:5 z8 ], h! x/ n7 G" `4 J; c+ N
* `$ t! J% @. D# B
小赔1.63) [( j2 M5 j( l- T! `
大赔0.609967173
4 _& D+ d+ b# ?' ]" Z& R+ Y+ V2 M% m2 K) j( R8 M& M/ e! A
方为正期望值,DC很黑啊。
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9#
开大两手 买大几率最大!
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10#
开大两手 买大几率最大!
0 V; y. w1 w0 J( c) I; M1 h$ L5 m6 Gfengzi8888 发表于 2013-3-7 20:26

' |! B# l7 [7 x  A- |# G; N1 z) w+ a

5 ?8 f6 H, X1 }2 u! }6 ~+ Q8 W   楼上您电影看多了吧。。
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回复 10# ccfilm 4 g6 t  g: A* ^8 s
7 R2 l3 H( O' Y8 r5 E4 c+ o
! m5 T/ K  X: S8 d6 Y4 j# f! Q; K  C
    你可以去观察一下 。
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12#
这个不太会算
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感谢楼主的分享啊  看样子 大小的确不适合下注。
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14#
买大小,比买庄闲更容易失控
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