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[lastpost] => 2793443 比特币失去对白银的波动溢价，但并未失去长期支撑——接下来会发生什么？（转） 1767120437 人生如赌
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。 ) {8 o# B p3 l( y
行情补充、 ' M u, m" p2 S. F3 N. H; b
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
4 k( T6 f7 U W9 q% c" V* m; C* K: F市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。
6 o: u3 h6 m+ Z: ^关于疑问、一一回复。
' B+ k* @% T" V2 E" z3 U) z( P% S" n+ U今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ . r% T1 w2 D% C3 w$ g$ x2 Z
8 W) R% M" v# G0 v7 O7 W; O1 l
首先就个人的主观来说、
" d2 `: Z q% q0 Y对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
& x8 j- l E0 E* s% w+ x极度憧憬市场的未来！ $ {' r, S, [2 @9 h6 W
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
. c$ S, m* v: F' J最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 ) d# f9 K" \5 a5 N; J9 M
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
) \ S7 k5 n7 W$ b会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。
, @% r. e* P+ N; [$ d( H. O0 A# Q5 H转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
9 L# J4 u8 r) \4 K1 V' b9 p其次出现降息，和停止抽水。
9 J+ Q) F4 w+ N, a2 L' `4 D4 S（这是最精准的抄底时机，） / Q- P, V+ s0 @
为什么会跌、
5 i# g% r/ @+ ^3 a) N# J0 w7 I1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 5 B% _0 U! p4 _# @" Y/ ?' D0 w
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
; ` ^; B; y: M. i5 A3 O3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 2 H5 N2 [3 T2 ] k
综上造成的下跌、
, p( n! J4 ]) r" X这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 9 K' G# B6 Y( T% b+ o
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 2 {; V! O2 i" P2 R
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
8 L( r8 v: |+ O7 o4 z0 q( E来决定行情是否好转。
6 h9 q# v% T2 D4 Y- h; _$ e* x( `至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。
( a( @ c x% v在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. * L7 S6 `- \# r R, Z( S! v, G7 z
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 ) }3 x3 m! v7 q1 p$ j, Q9 L5 _6 M
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
& Q' |: y D8 ^' b3 {那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
, F, L0 Z% W- E看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
% X) j9 N1 w; ]! m日内大饼反弹、 $ m. X% Z2 p: J0 o- m0 B
26150高空
! y. S/ y" d8 F$ K26350补仓 / {& k& l$ O: G( n m# d% M/ ~8 V
26550防守
- i* G0 X8 q' f7 r' z1 C目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看
7 q1 `( O7 W% l6 f以太反弹
3 Y( \8 W" m- o4 Q1380高空
1 h, \! w& }. ]4 _1400补仓
! j; v- j/ ^5 \) |1420防守
! X9 Z# T+ Q2 T/ Y目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
2 p. K1 @5 T4 _6 j* k) L附言、 . M0 v, I1 q( ~" z9 }8 d. e
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
f% V7 c2 h- e# H是正常现象，
9 w9 R, J4 H5 E5 V* u合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
& D# H+ U! I/ Z8 X: a. b: l对于市场、依旧未来可期。
% }! ]0 j! o& K% {大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
) L( a; c. h/ G9 L% S5 R6 F# N上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
& c, a% _6 g. H* Y& M5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 # i( V. q' P8 q+ l: N
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 ( H7 a4 {0 D- A& E2 b
相信七月公布时，会较理想。
; s4 r# U9 }) [但现阶段，要承受的住。
* k+ S2 |4 k: Y6 n! T; [最后再强调、现货勿割。 2 p! N$ `& a- Z& r# Y6 P$ ]8 _
25000的大饼 1300的以太、 ' R4 c. W+ L. w9 M) {
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 . M6 K; [* s, { f8 m
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 & F8 M9 j( ]5 t1 X
这个市场，
$ z! d! D1 G# P: c& }7 n% K. _消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 ( I J! R# h- f) Z: y! T, b
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 ! |' M2 T6 E" k/ ~# ~0 }8 Z
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
; a+ W: p7 Y2 X2 _9 a& C$ \7 |$ ?但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 " Q2 W Q8 {% U
来源：金色财经 |
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