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[lastpost] => 2793486 长期比特币持有者数月来首次暂停抛售：以下是看涨的问题（转） 1767144042 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
' q4 H7 f5 B+ O; q0 e1 x行情补充、
* P3 m# d. \ p0 M. k% T6 I" ]在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
8 z( R3 N* y; E, B8 I市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 ) w' l) L" i! F8 M7 Z3 j" u: ]3 i
关于疑问、一一回复。
* O4 V# J5 f- R0 A1 Z6 K今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
5 J0 M& k; }/ R( l# j3 F1 w
F* x9 D) C' @& @* H6 @
首先就个人的主观来说、 6 f8 E m( \" u# T' t+ V3 `
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 8 l ^8 a; S/ G7 m" b" l# B( b4 F* i
极度憧憬市场的未来！
6 V2 B6 m7 r' z但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
( X) h8 B3 W/ a: O/ F! I9 `" M4 N7 E% s9 [最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 9 P' X5 i; [! Z
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 5 E/ h' K2 b7 {) s+ n3 P- l4 a" _! W
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。
' W1 M& v3 N& D7 K$ ?; l" i0 ]转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
5 l' R+ `- d! h: m5 t9 y7 L其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 ) l8 h3 P9 b8 G4 f, `, |+ `
（这是最精准的抄底时机，） 2 F: h( A( b5 J$ L
为什么会跌、 ^$ D; p* x' v W
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 0 S7 [+ T7 I3 s6 T% u5 L) ]9 R1 C
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 ; w0 R/ e* W! l7 {
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
2 }+ f; B! ^, P- I- v+ @综上造成的下跌、
" g, v- V2 l3 ~( J6 i y: Z$ n这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 ) X1 J- ]: d* J# O6 @
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 8 W& q: S) I; Z! ?0 a0 {; U
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 ) Q, n1 m, d' H( n5 H* _" u( o$ E! m
来决定行情是否好转。 1 e$ |2 w: W# m$ Q0 R( D
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。
# N/ R9 S/ r3 P在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
; l- B t5 F/ ^* y+ ?* \4 A1 B短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 - X( s9 v1 b4 D0 ^, i/ m2 I5 Q- J
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
, g3 f2 Q/ W! x5 O0 s9 `那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
@( s- G+ H0 g* i$ L: ~0 T看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 4 T. N/ h- m( v
日内大饼反弹、 : C8 Y6 w0 }* M$ k
26150高空
& R1 I4 {' h: ^% g/ H26350补仓 7 p% i2 }4 v. `
26550防守
6 r- f2 L+ \0 K/ o$ F目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看
! z9 M T$ G, C/ Z( i" o/ W以太反弹 8 z( w. H/ V) |+ C& Y
1380高空
4 X$ D8 W! g' v5 F& i& g1400补仓
2 r# s5 ~; d1 f4 k5 p* [1420防守 : a) I& G, m9 }
目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 9 k* C# O6 A8 z8 v$ Y! ~2 x. V
附言、 ; x' |9 o$ w' ~( r5 v1 b
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。 & L8 g0 |1 D# Z) d0 D: }
是正常现象， 2 W0 S& B! b4 m/ k+ Q0 ?
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 ; u9 l+ ]! X: x& t) i# o
对于市场、依旧未来可期。 , o- R7 l: B) T: J
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 ]2 R1 `0 Q. m1 X, e% ?
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 / i a* w$ I) d& p
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 8 ?8 [ @- R. t3 J& e0 J$ L) X4 j
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 - j1 ?4 l/ Z; Q g, z' }0 t9 L9 E% }
相信七月公布时，会较理想。
/ Z" n$ D5 Z" z. Z: A4 ^* `! o' d但现阶段，要承受的住。
- P4 M" Q6 E' L8 N最后再强调、现货勿割。 6 l" P+ \( f8 X) l+ O
25000的大饼 1300的以太、 8 a/ Y/ D) |2 @
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
9 o9 S4 e2 p/ y; y& }+ V* G7 A" ^2 W稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 . ]+ ~4 C) D, Z
这个市场， ' N5 A0 M4 |: ^2 j$ P% @
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 9 n0 `$ o6 `* ]5 R& V
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
- Z. S/ Q( Y; l切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 & e- h8 t: U2 g H' U8 y! w
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
! l' u/ C* e3 j- z! c+ z来源：金色财经 |
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