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德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字 @% ]- P7 v, T1 K
| 起手牌 | 赢的概率 | 平均收益 | 期望值 | 获牌机率 | | Cards | Probability of Win | Average Win | Expected Value | Probability | | Pair of A’s | 31.36% | 9.91 | 2.1071 | 0.45% | | Pair of K’s | 26.43% | 9.87 | 1.6079 | 0.45% | | Pair of Q’s | 22.66% | 9.81 | 1.2224 | 0.45% | | A/K suited | 21.73% | 9.52 | 1.0688 | 0.30% | | Pair of J’s | 19.84% | 9.74 | 0.9318 | 0.45% | | A/Q suited | 20.44% | 9.41 | 0.9239 | 0.30% | | K/Q suited | 19.80% | 9.41 | 0.8639 | 0.30% | | A/J suited | 19.51% | 9.31 | 0.8159 | 0.30% | | K/J suited | 18.94% | 9.31 | 0.7636 | 0.30% | | A/T suited | 18.87% | 9.2 | 0.7353 | 0.30% | | Q/J suited | 18.55% | 9.28 | 0.7217 | 0.30% | | A/K unsuited | 18.29% | 9.41 | 0.7209 | 0.90% | | Pair of T’s | 17.76% | 9.65 | 0.7145 | 0.45% | | K/T suited | 18.34% | 9.21 | 0.689 | 0.30% | | Q/T suited | 18.04% | 9.19 | 0.6577 | 0.30% | | J/T suited | 18.07% | 9.16 | 0.6552 | 0.30% | | Pair of 9’s | 16.05% | 9.69 | 0.5559 | 0.45% | | A/Q unsuited | 16.78% | 9.26 | 0.5539 | 0.90% | | A/9 suited | 16.87% | 9.12 | 0.5377 | 0.30% | | K/Q unsuited | 16.30% | 9.26 | 0.5098 | 0.90% | | K/9 suited | 16.22% | 9.16 | 0.4854 | 0.30% | | T/9 suited | 16.33% | 9.09 | 0.485 | 0.30% | | A/8 suited | 16.34% | 9.03 | 0.4756 | 0.30% | | J/9 suited | 15.96% | 9.12 | 0.4561 | 0.30% | | Q/9 suited | 15.89% | 9.14 | 0.4527 | 0.30% | | Pair of 8’s | 14.96% | 9.67 | 0.4471 | 0.45% | | A/5 suited | 16.23% | 8.9 | 0.4447 | 0.30% | | A/J unsuited | 15.70% | 9.1 | 0.4291 | 0.90% | | A/7 suited | 15.93% | 8.96 | 0.4272 | 0.30% | | A/4 suited | 15.88% | 8.94 | 0.4205 | 0.30% | | A/3 suited | 15.51% | 9 | 0.3957 | 0.30% | | K/J unsuited | 15.30% | 9.11 | 0.3944 | 0.90% | | A/6 suited | 15.62% | 8.91 | 0.3916 | 0.30% | | Q/J unsuited | 15.07% | 9.08 | 0.3687 | 0.90% | | Pair of 7’s | 14.14% | 9.65 | 0.3647 | 0.45% | | A/2 suited | 15.02% | 9.04 | 0.3579 | 0.30% | | K/8 suited | 15.03% | 9.03 | 0.3568 | 0.30% | | T/8 suited | 15.05% | 9 | 0.3556 | 0.30% | | 9/8 suited | 14.69% | 9.11 | 0.3388 | 0.30% | | A/T unsuited | 14.93% | 8.94 | 0.3353 | 0.90% |
. j/ d- L0 D" a& _$ {德州扑克游戏过程中的概率' [" S' ^9 M: |- @$ z) A8 e
玩德州扑克过程中,一副牌形成的可能性有多大,对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大,拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少,当你手中握有一对时,悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几,这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键,这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注,跟注,加注还是弃牌。
2 U% O/ \9 U7 a6 e+ `) i( ]9 S: j3 H% ]# u2 ?7 Z) j$ s& y
下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语% C" b% x/ @5 q: U! f
$ i! x+ O+ ~4 r: n补牌总数
8 c# a' t# y hOuts+ O' D6 H' u+ K1 a& a6 @( n
未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数
$ k, M1 Z; D, c( e- J“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花”; o+ S% K. U. |. [
. K2 R6 d: }+ R. {& J" G
成牌概率4 |6 J6 X3 a5 g! j/ O$ b% P, U1 L
Hand Odds% ~- A; [ N0 |+ ^6 Z- u
形成一手特定牌型的概率+ Y9 U. b; c* X* N* N) N. G3 \$ Y3 J
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1” _# q z# C+ R* C3 F
8 H. u5 ~6 {5 s, T- D7 j总注概率1 D& V% [. S5 y. ]
Pot Odds
) y: Q! G9 h! |) a( c4 Q你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200,我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮,如果我能完成我的顺子,赌注概率对我非常有利。7 I4 z3 J" e( z' d
: e0 _* z* m& E6 y- y1 k
下注概率
. T5 T; _0 z' K. ?9 j7 K( D {8 |Bet Odds1 Q3 [- q3 ]* Y* V# Z! Z7 r
你下注以后,根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率
& x4 {# ^+ f0 B. _' W4 u“我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌,我下注以后,有6个玩家会跟注,下注概率对我有利”! z9 G0 V7 y2 w2 e
. `9 k! v! y ?
隐含概率
3 l0 A; R8 o. z$ n1 V9 z/ B1 jImplied Odds
* o0 R1 n8 G% O4 Z* }3 u通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率6 K: k0 S6 m& c% t1 P% d
“我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注,因此隐含概率对我非常有利”7 x/ j; v0 x+ v9 w' a5 v& W6 k
1 V# L1 ?( t; i2 V3 d+ s9 t/ T2 I6 n w$ X8 V9 P+ t* n
下面举一个简单的例子,说明这些概率知识的重要性:
* K7 r+ Q; p- x4 C i转牌翻开以后,你有四张红桃,你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1,你相信同花会赢这轮牌,而这时的总赌注为$200,你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比200,即为十分之一,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$200,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。
% [4 U7 N/ E. s' s0 t- c& X
- _4 L, o$ K1 X反过来,如果这时的总赌注为$60,而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比60,即为3分之1,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$60,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。6 J; U8 y& U. [( w: H% o+ U O
9 u% E0 D1 i7 Z |
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