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德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字( @9 E" K) R! ^
| 起手牌 | 赢的概率 | 平均收益 | 期望值 | 获牌机率 | | Cards | Probability of Win | Average Win | Expected Value | Probability | | Pair of A’s | 31.36% | 9.91 | 2.1071 | 0.45% | | Pair of K’s | 26.43% | 9.87 | 1.6079 | 0.45% | | Pair of Q’s | 22.66% | 9.81 | 1.2224 | 0.45% | | A/K suited | 21.73% | 9.52 | 1.0688 | 0.30% | | Pair of J’s | 19.84% | 9.74 | 0.9318 | 0.45% | | A/Q suited | 20.44% | 9.41 | 0.9239 | 0.30% | | K/Q suited | 19.80% | 9.41 | 0.8639 | 0.30% | | A/J suited | 19.51% | 9.31 | 0.8159 | 0.30% | | K/J suited | 18.94% | 9.31 | 0.7636 | 0.30% | | A/T suited | 18.87% | 9.2 | 0.7353 | 0.30% | | Q/J suited | 18.55% | 9.28 | 0.7217 | 0.30% | | A/K unsuited | 18.29% | 9.41 | 0.7209 | 0.90% | | Pair of T’s | 17.76% | 9.65 | 0.7145 | 0.45% | | K/T suited | 18.34% | 9.21 | 0.689 | 0.30% | | Q/T suited | 18.04% | 9.19 | 0.6577 | 0.30% | | J/T suited | 18.07% | 9.16 | 0.6552 | 0.30% | | Pair of 9’s | 16.05% | 9.69 | 0.5559 | 0.45% | | A/Q unsuited | 16.78% | 9.26 | 0.5539 | 0.90% | | A/9 suited | 16.87% | 9.12 | 0.5377 | 0.30% | | K/Q unsuited | 16.30% | 9.26 | 0.5098 | 0.90% | | K/9 suited | 16.22% | 9.16 | 0.4854 | 0.30% | | T/9 suited | 16.33% | 9.09 | 0.485 | 0.30% | | A/8 suited | 16.34% | 9.03 | 0.4756 | 0.30% | | J/9 suited | 15.96% | 9.12 | 0.4561 | 0.30% | | Q/9 suited | 15.89% | 9.14 | 0.4527 | 0.30% | | Pair of 8’s | 14.96% | 9.67 | 0.4471 | 0.45% | | A/5 suited | 16.23% | 8.9 | 0.4447 | 0.30% | | A/J unsuited | 15.70% | 9.1 | 0.4291 | 0.90% | | A/7 suited | 15.93% | 8.96 | 0.4272 | 0.30% | | A/4 suited | 15.88% | 8.94 | 0.4205 | 0.30% | | A/3 suited | 15.51% | 9 | 0.3957 | 0.30% | | K/J unsuited | 15.30% | 9.11 | 0.3944 | 0.90% | | A/6 suited | 15.62% | 8.91 | 0.3916 | 0.30% | | Q/J unsuited | 15.07% | 9.08 | 0.3687 | 0.90% | | Pair of 7’s | 14.14% | 9.65 | 0.3647 | 0.45% | | A/2 suited | 15.02% | 9.04 | 0.3579 | 0.30% | | K/8 suited | 15.03% | 9.03 | 0.3568 | 0.30% | | T/8 suited | 15.05% | 9 | 0.3556 | 0.30% | | 9/8 suited | 14.69% | 9.11 | 0.3388 | 0.30% | | A/T unsuited | 14.93% | 8.94 | 0.3353 | 0.90% |
2 p9 H9 c O' L+ Q7 q2 s! t( s德州扑克游戏过程中的概率
0 o6 t) _ T/ g' r/ |- Q4 R- N1 p玩德州扑克过程中,一副牌形成的可能性有多大,对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大,拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少,当你手中握有一对时,悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几,这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键,这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注,跟注,加注还是弃牌。3 ?3 x& H# t3 z$ z
, l2 B) ]0 e# G0 v- E6 C+ W
下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语; V; b( r) O* H$ N7 s
, `! \, ]4 w v6 ]
补牌总数
( i# M. j2 d* V. L& E6 n- lOuts
6 c5 |( J8 @) M9 s4 T未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数6 R n6 n/ B! _% `# Z
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花”
8 K/ H% `/ W5 q/ {9 L
2 d! J$ z! z9 S6 t成牌概率, z; b8 D0 \( @; i- U
Hand Odds Q$ v" x- J/ C2 N: |
形成一手特定牌型的概率9 D- F( p' Z; U' [
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1”
. C$ O0 u& A5 ~8 S# w, ~$ @) K% G& i3 x% B
总注概率. X( T' q3 Q1 R. u. y8 a. P
Pot Odds
4 |+ T1 ~; ]: {# @' s1 l7 ]2 n你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200,我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮,如果我能完成我的顺子,赌注概率对我非常有利。
7 {4 a* \" V8 P5 r a+ [$ k* X% R d
下注概率; R" f* k: X3 X, `/ N" W
Bet Odds3 X! Z" M8 }; S" ^) X
你下注以后,根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率
( ~3 q- W! H' Z3 W“我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌,我下注以后,有6个玩家会跟注,下注概率对我有利”6 ?1 m4 _6 ?4 V8 _3 j7 d
+ ~+ g, W {' U8 u. h3 Y% \% X' t隐含概率, s9 L' f5 V- R/ x3 s. F& L0 c
Implied Odds
" K9 X; H( v: c通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率! v) T. \+ V: `' m1 z
“我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注,因此隐含概率对我非常有利”0 x( x7 z6 P' y" C- k6 I q. X3 O
& A) I3 O2 @ }! j. e0 R
( `3 w% J; u. _下面举一个简单的例子,说明这些概率知识的重要性:
1 c# M0 k: h& M7 T# Y) A) m转牌翻开以后,你有四张红桃,你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1,你相信同花会赢这轮牌,而这时的总赌注为$200,你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比200,即为十分之一,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$200,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。
3 e8 @$ a2 [9 u8 x9 d4 ~& _1 E% U9 h, y' g2 u, Q7 \
反过来,如果这时的总赌注为$60,而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比60,即为3分之1,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$60,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。! g' q V- w! ^ u
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