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小分3种情况:7 l+ V( W2 W0 ^8 W/ d) E
7 K. B7 x6 R3 A8 ?3 o$ h! n9 v
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。3 g0 Q1 H0 n P6 H! w$ T* {" z( [
: n. E$ S2 o- W2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
- a g" L& d6 H# v! @8 t6 k( W9 D1 K& g( S
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。
$ U( S' t- @$ q1 g) }, U, Q) a: r& \# D. I9 m
2张牌8或9点的情况有:* S t; U8 V$ q" l2 Z1 s8 ~
0 [- {6 v: I# _+ D% _
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10& b- C' X' z5 n, ~. a& v9 T
1 t: i# {8 j2 e' S" h6 c, j7 ]
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415( v" i2 E2 B$ M" }- l5 K2 W7 r
% a9 H- o/ g' A$ ^' Z
4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
2 Z4 Q8 z* A/ x" ]5 T j u" J3 {
# }3 d& j* i# b6 h0 }8 m8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
! d4 A! [8 W+ V
, w7 n; y0 \* T6 {# H- A由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。
$ i! c0 s' W0 U5 \* g' j( U
, B3 g& v7 k7 E( \- o8 G通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。8 M! ?6 J( \+ i$ ~- P, ~& N
0 l4 \& L. n ^
那么我们可以得出
9 h7 M# `, M* i2 Z: L
1 Q _/ `% U: i, `( B1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662. S5 ^" O8 P' f9 ?6 D
5 B! F0 w* Z6 A& r
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 - x* A" j/ b1 y# |6 q& x: ]+ O
: x8 l& U, E( g, | A+ t1 w
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491) L+ S: ]3 _2 }3 R6 S
% N( p1 ?1 C; ?
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323& l# |! T% o3 ^# e$ N
" X% \. l5 f# Q" u4 W: Q9 N$ }3 I$ z
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677" G2 Z5 {8 e x& k' N- |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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