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[lastpost] => 2803444 预告：美国1月ADP就业人数将于今晚21:15公布 1770279536 rainwang
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u6 s# u7 P! p2 {比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，8 m% A4 l- @6 |$ @$ S& A/ S p
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 0 p+ Q' |4 i- e
; c! [& w& ~0 W& b0 P有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
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% c g" V" v! V1 a+ O) P股等风险较高的投资。
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( B C0 {. B) |) g+ y% y芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
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明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 $ H$ d1 h8 G0 n; M5 k+ d( r( O
3 V8 f( o: h3 {9 d% Q8 g P" B/ ~: d
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动( k9 P. u& \3 w; ?) X: ?8 z
5 {, }, C0 ]. i. x因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。 & k5 q# U3 [5 _7 K3 c, a
8 y" W/ g/ F- d2 V. l" T
更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
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仍有许多交易商可能买入。
7 w3 W3 d* `( i5 R F7 J8 Y$ E# [, A5 r# i# _
库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的2 F4 a9 B" ?% r
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推动力之一。
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% Y. T6 F, a- T) L, I4 \7 p
8 O }" c$ V6 e. F- M有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 , ^0 C1 {. m: L! C/ f g8 L, L) r- d
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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* a: a- a5 h" r& T数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至 d* f' {) Q6 K' H5 l$ z: e7 W
* I2 F/ J0 G) W" Q: ?$ P今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 8 r" R9 D0 k8 z! n) Z
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